Prediction for match Bastia — Troyes

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 2 on February 16, Bastia will face Troyes. The odds for the outcome are as follows: Bastia win at 2.53, draw at 2.97, and Troyes win at 2.98. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Bastia - 37.03%, draw - 31.54%, Troyes - 31.43%. Bets are being placed without a clear favorite, but Bastia has a slight advantage in the odds. This reflects a balance of power where both teams are capable of competing, and a draw is also highly rated.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bastia has an average possession of 54.6%, receives 3.4 yellow cards, commits 16 fouls, and records 1 offside per game. Troyes holds the ball 52.8% of the time, receives 3.2 yellows, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 3.6 times. In their last three games, Bastia played as follows: 06.02.2026 Reims - Bastia 0-0, 30.01.2026 Bastia - Nancy 0-0, 23.01.2026 Bastia - Montpellier 0-2. Troyes in the same period: 07.02.2026 Nancy - Troyes 2-1, 04.02.2026 Troyes - Lens 2-4, 31.01.2026 Troyes - Le Mans 0-2. The last head-to-head match was on 10.01.2026: Bastia - Troyes 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Bastia has an average total of 1.2 goals per game, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.8 per match. For Troyes, these figures are higher: 3 goals on average per match, with 1 scored and 2 conceded. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Bastia has 0 out of 5 matches over, Troyes has 3 out of 5 over. In the first half, Bastia has not exceeded 1.5 goals (0 out of 5), while Troyes has 4 out of 5 over. In the second half, Bastia has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Troyes only 1 out of 5. By intervals: Troyes most often scores between 61-75 minutes (43%), while Bastia concedes most frequently between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Troyes concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (50%). The overall dynamics suggest that Bastia plays low-scoring matches with a defensive focus, while Troyes tends toward more goal-rich games. However, given Bastia's low scoring and frequent unders, the bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.54 seems logical. This is supported by the low scoring in the first half for both teams, as well as Bastia's average conceding rate.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Bastia earns an average of 3.8 corners per match, Troyes - 4.6. For over 9.5 corners: Bastia has 0 out of 5 over, Troyes 3 out of 5 over. Among the odds for corner totals, there is a pair for 8.5: over 8.5 at 1.82, under 8.5 at 1.86. There is also an option for 9.5: over 9.5 at 2.36, under 9.5 at 1.48. In terms of corner outcomes, Troyes is favored with odds of 1.98. Considering the average values and frequencies, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially given Troyes' tendency for higher activity in this regard.