Prediction for match Bastia — Nancy

Match Analysis: Bastia vs Nancy

On January 30, 2026, in Ligue 2 France, Bastia will face Nancy. The odds for Bastia to win are 2.30, a draw is 3.04, and a win for Nancy is 3.29. According to probability percentages, Bastia has a 40.72% chance, a draw is 30.81%, and Nancy has a 28.47% chance. This suggests a slight advantage for Bastia, but the likelihood of a draw is also significant. Goal total options: over 2.5 goals is at 2.40, under 2.5 goals is at 1.55, both teams to score: yes - 1.99, no - 1.73.

Team Results and Statistics

Bastia's last five matches resulted in: 23.01.2026 - Bastia vs Montpellier 0-2, 16.01.2026 - Laval vs Bastia 0-2, 10.01.2026 - Bastia vs Troyes 0-2. During the same period, Nancy played: 23.01.2026 - Nancy vs Rodez 1-3, 19.01.2026 - Nancy vs Guingamp 0-3, 11.01.2026 - Le Mans vs Nancy 4-1. In their last head-to-head on 28.10.2025, Nancy defeated Bastia 2-0. Additional stats: Bastia averages 54.2% possession, 3.6 yellow cards, 17.8 fouls, 0.4 offsides per match. Nancy averages 46% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, 2 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Bastia has an average total of 1.6 goals, scoring and conceding 0.8 per game. Nancy averages 2.4 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Bastia 0 out of 5, Nancy 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals: Bastia 0 out of 5 in the first half, 2 out of 5 in the second half. Nancy 1 out of 5 in the first half, 3 out of 5 in the second half. Bastia most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (100%), while Nancy scores in the second half: 46-60, 61-75, 76-90 (33% each). For goals conceded: Bastia most often concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), Nancy has a higher rate at 44% in the same interval. Considering Bastia's low scoring and Nancy's less reliable defense, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.55 seems most logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bastia averages 3.2 corners per match, Nancy 4.4. In the last five games, Bastia surpassed the 9.5 corners total only once, while Nancy did so 3 out of 5 times. The line closest to the average total is 8.5 corners: over 8.5 is at 1.58, under 8.5 is at 2.15. Bastia is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.78. With this data, betting on over 8.5 corners is reasonable, considering both teams can create chances, and Nancy often reaches high corner counts.