Prediction for match Bayer Leverkusen — Arsenal

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Champions League on 11.03.2026, Bayer Leverkusen will face Arsenal. According to the 1X2 odds, Arsenal is the favorite with odds of 1.59 for a win, a draw is priced at 4.47, and a win for Bayer Leverkusen is at 6.20. Looking at the probability percentages, Bayer Leverkusen has a 15.91% chance of winning, a draw is at 22.06%, and Arsenal has a 62.03% chance of winning. This setup reflects confidence in Arsenal's strength compared to their opponent. Additional markets for totals and both teams to score are also available, but bookmakers are mainly focusing on Arsenal's clear advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bayer Leverkusen maintains 58.2% possession, receives an average of 1.4 yellow cards, commits 8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Arsenal, over the same period, holds 53.4% possession, registers 1 yellow card, 9.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Bayer Leverkusen's last three results: 07.03.2026 Freiburg 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen, 04.03.2026 Hamburg 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen, 28.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mainz 05. Arsenal's recent matches: 07.03.2026 Mansfield Town 1-2 Arsenal, 04.03.2026 Brighton 0-1 Arsenal, 01.03.2026 Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea. In their head-to-head on 07.08.2024, Arsenal defeated Bayer Leverkusen 4-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal Match

In a series of five matches, Bayer Leverkusen has an average total goals of 2, scoring and conceding 1 goal per game. Arsenal's average total goals is significantly higher at 3.2, with a scoring rate of 2.2 goals and conceding 1. For over 2.5 goals: Bayer Leverkusen has only 1 out of 5 matches over, while Arsenal has 4 out of 5 over 2.5. In the first half, Bayer Leverkusen exceeded 1.5 goals only once in 5 matches, Arsenal twice. In the second half, Bayer Leverkusen 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Arsenal 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Bayer Leverkusen most frequently scores between 31-45 (40%) and 76-90 (40%), Arsenal between 61-75 minutes (33%). Bayer Leverkusen concedes most often in the same intervals - 31-45 (40%) and 61-75 (40%), Arsenal - 31-45 (30%). Given Arsenal's high scoring ability, their consistent over 2.5 performances, and Bayer Leverkusen's not-so-reliable defense, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified. The odds for Over 2.5 are 1.88.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Bayer Leverkusen averages 4.2 corners per match, Arsenal - 4.8. In a five-match span, Bayer Leverkusen has not exceeded a 9.5 corners total, while Arsenal has done so in 2 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.29, under 9.5 - 1.57. A victory in corner markets is not highlighted, but both teams are capable of delivering 8-10 corners per game. It makes sense to consider over 9.5 corners as a risky option, while betting under 9.5 seems more reliable based on current frequency.