Prediction for match Bayer Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund

On November 29, Bayer Leverkusen will face Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga. According to the 1X2 odds, Bayer is priced at 2.62, Borussia Dortmund at 2.72, with a draw at 3.76. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Bayer win 37.59%, draw 26.20%, Borussia Dortmund win 36.21%. Based on these percentages, the match is expected to be competitive with a slight edge for Bayer.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Bayer averaged 53.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 6.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Borussia Dortmund averaged 54.2% possession, 1 yellow card, 14 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Bayer defeated Manchester City 2-0 (Nov 25), Wolfsburg 3-1 (Nov 22), and thrashed Heidenheim 6-0 (Nov 8). Borussia Dortmund beat Villarreal 4-0 (Nov 25), drew 3-3 with Stuttgart (Nov 22), and 1-1 with Hamburg (Nov 8). In their last head-to-head on May 11, 2025, Borussia Dortmund won 4-2, with over 2.5 goals scored.

Goals Statistics

In Bayer's last five matches, the average total goals were 3.2, with Bayer scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.8. Borussia Dortmund averaged 3.6 goals per match, scoring 2 and conceding 1.6. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 games. In the first half, Bayer had over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5, while Borussia Dortmund had 2 of 5. In the second half, Bayer had 0 of 5 over 1.5, while Borussia Dortmund had 4 of 5. Bayer most often scored between the 16th and 30th minute (40%), while Borussia Dortmund scored late, between the 76th and 90th minute (36%). In terms of goals conceded, Bayer allowed most between the 16th and 30th minute (33%), while Borussia Dortmund between the 61st and 75th minute (50%). Considering the high scoring nature of both teams and Borussia Dortmund's strong second-half performance, a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.64 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bayer averaged 3.8 corners over their last 5 matches, while Borussia Dortmund averaged 3.6. For totals over 9.5 corners, Bayer had 4 of 5, while Borussia Dortmund had 0 of 5. The market closest to the average sum is over 7.5 corners at 1.28, with under 7.5 at 3.22. There are also odds for over 9.5 at 1.86 and under 9.5 at 1.88. Bayer is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.98. Given the teams' averages and Bayer's frequent over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.