Prediction for match Bayer Leverkusen — VfL Wolfsburg

Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg

On April 4th, Bayer Leverkusen will face VfL Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga. The odds for Bayer to win are 1.46, a draw is at 5.18, and Wolfsburg's victory is priced at 7.21. The probabilities are as follows: Bayer - 67.37%, draw - 18.99%, Wolfsburg - 13.64%. Bayer is the favorite according to the odds and percentages, which is also supported by the statistics from their recent encounters.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bayer averaged 52% possession, received 2.6 yellow cards per game, committed 9 fouls, and had 0.4 offsides. Wolfsburg, in the same period, had 44.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three games, Bayer drew 3-3 with Heidenheim (March 21, 2026), lost 0-2 to Arsenal (March 17, 2026), and drew 1-1 with Bayern Munich (March 14, 2026). Wolfsburg lost 0-1 to Werder Bremen (March 21, 2026), drew 1-1 with Hoffenheim (March 14, 2026), and lost 1-2 to Hamburg (March 7, 2026). In their last head-to-head on November 22, 2025, Wolfsburg lost 1-3 to Bayer.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The average number of goals in Bayer's last five games is 3.6, while for Wolfsburg it is 3. Bayer scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 2, while Wolfsburg scores 0.8 and concedes 2.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 games for Bayer and 3 out of 5 for Wolfsburg. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were scored twice for each team, while in the second half, Bayer had 3 instances and Wolfsburg 2. Bayer most frequently scores and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (30% and 38% respectively), while Wolfsburg scores most from the 16th to the 30th minute (38%) and concedes in the second half: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (each 29%). Considering both teams' average scoring and frequent second-half goals, a bet on over 2.75 goals at odds of 1.53 seems justified.

Corner Total Analysis

In their last five matches, Bayer averaged 3.6 corners, while Wolfsburg averaged 4.6. For over 9.5 corners, Bayer achieved this once out of 5 games, and Wolfsburg 4 out of 5. The line closest to the average total (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.37, under 8.5 is at 2.87. There's also a bet for Bayer to win on corners with odds of 1.21. Considering Wolfsburg's activity on corners and Bayer's low average, it's logical to consider a bet on over 8.5 total corners or Wolfsburg's individual corner total.