Prediction for match Bayer Leverkusen — Villarreal

Match Analysis: Bayer Leverkusen vs Villarreal

On January 28, in the Champions League, Bayer Leverkusen will face Villarreal. According to the 1X2 odds, Bayer is the favorite with odds of 1.62, a draw is at 4.57, and a Villarreal win is at 5.63. The probability percentages are as follows: Bayer 60.89%, draw 21.59%, Villarreal 17.52%. This indicates Bayer's advantage at the start of the match, although a close contest is not ruled out.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bayer has an average possession of 59.6%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Villarreal plays with less control (37.4% possession), receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. Bayer's last three matches: January 24, 2026, Bayer vs Werder 1-0, January 20, 2026, Olympiacos vs Bayer 2-0, January 17, 2026, Hoffenheim vs Bayer 1-0. Villarreal's recent results: January 24, 2026, Villarreal vs Real Madrid 0-2, January 20, 2026, Villarreal vs Ajax 1-2, January 17, 2026, Real Betis vs Villarreal 2-0. In their head-to-head match on March 17, 2016, Bayer and Villarreal played to a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

On average over the last 5 games, Bayer sees 2.6 goals per match, while Villarreal sees 3. Bayer scores 1 and concedes 1.6, Villarreal scores 1.4 and also concedes 1.6. In their five-game series, Bayer's total over 2.5 goals occurred 2 times, under 3 times, while Villarreal's over 2.5 occurred 3 times, under 2 times. By halves, Bayer's first half total over 1.5 was recorded 3 times, Villarreal's only once. In the second half, Bayer had no over 1.5 occurrences, while Villarreal had 4 out of 5. Bayer most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (50%) and concedes in the same period (57%). Villarreal scores most between 46-60 minutes (57%) and concedes towards the end, 76-90 minutes (50%). Considering both teams' average scoring, Villarreal's frequent over 2.5 totals and halftime movement, a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 1.50 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Bayer averages 6.2 corners per match, Villarreal 3.8. In their last five games, Bayer's total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times, Villarreal's 2 times. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.89, under 9.5 at 1.85. Bayer is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds of 1.43. Considering the average activity in corners and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match.