Prediction for match Bayern — Atalanta

Match Analysis: Bayern vs Atalanta

On 18.03.2026, Bayern will face Atalanta in the Champions League. According to the 1X2 odds, Bayern is the favorite with odds of 1.38, a draw is priced at 6.17, and an Atalanta win is at 7.85. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 71.46% for Bayern's success, 15.98% for a draw, and 12.56% for Atalanta's victory. The favorite is clear from the percentages, but the odds on totals and both teams to score also deserve attention, considering the attacking profiles of both teams in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bayern played: 14.03.2026 Bayer - Bayern 1-1, 10.03.2026 Atalanta - Bayern 1-6, 06.03.2026 Bayern - Borussia M 4-1. Atalanta in the same period: 14.03.2026 Inter - Atalanta 1-1, 10.03.2026 Atalanta - Bayern 1-6, 07.03.2026 Atalanta - Udinese 2-2. In their head-to-head on 10.03.2026, Atalanta lost to Bayern 1-6. In additional metrics, Bayern in a five-match series possesses the ball for an average of 63% of the time, makes 1.4 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Atalanta has 53.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. These figures show that both teams play actively and are competitive on the field.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals in the last five matches, both teams have 4 over 2.5 goals and only one under. Bayern's average number of goals per match is 4.8, while Atalanta's is 4, indicating high scoring. Bayern scores an average of 3.4 goals, Atalanta 1.4, with Atalanta conceding 2.6 per game. By halves, Bayern has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second. Atalanta has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half but 4 out of 5 in the second. In goal intervals, Bayern most often scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (27%) and the 76th and 90th (27%), Atalanta between the 76th and 90th (38%). Bayern is most vulnerable to conceding between the 61st and 90th minutes (31% in two intervals), Atalanta between the 46th and 60th and the 76th and 90th (25% each). All this indicates a high probability of both teams scoring: both teams have an attacking style, frequent overs on totals, and high average scoring. The main prediction is both teams to score: yes at 1.55.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Bayern averages 5 corners per game, Atalanta 5.6. In the last five matches, Bayern had only 1 out of 5 games over 9.5 corners, Atalanta 2 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the closest line to the sum of averages is 10. For a total of 9.75, there are both options: over 9.75 is at 1.82, under 9.75 at 1.88. In the corners outcome, Bayern is the favorite with odds of 1.25. Based on the average activity of both teams and their attacking profiles, a bet on total corners over 9.75 seems logical, but the frequency of hitting high totals is not too high, so caution is advised.