Prediction for match Bayern — Augsburg, 24.01.2026

Match Analysis: Bayern vs. Augsburg

In the Bundesliga on January 24, Bayern will face Augsburg. The odds for a Bayern victory are set at a minimal 1.10, reflecting an 89.17% chance of success according to bookmakers. A draw is priced at 14.20 (6.91%), while an Augsburg win is at 25.00 (3.92%). This disparity in odds is due to the difference in class and current statistics: Bayern is on a strong run, while Augsburg significantly lags in key metrics. The favorite in this matchup is clear, and expectations for goals are high.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bayern boasts a high ball possession rate of 69.2%, averages 0.6 yellow cards, commits 6.4 fouls, and records 2 offsides per game. Augsburg, on the other hand, has 48.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three games, Bayern defeated Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 (21.01.2026), crushed RB Leipzig 5-1 (17.01.2026), and beat Cologne 3-1 (14.01.2026). Augsburg drew 2-2 with Freiburg (18.01.2026), 1-1 with Union Berlin (15.01.2026), and lost 0-4 to Borussia M (11.01.2026). Their last head-to-head encounter was on August 30, 2025, where Bayern won 3-2 at Augsburg's ground.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Bayern averages a total of 5 goals, scoring 4.4 and conceding only 0.6. Augsburg averages a total of 2.2, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6. Bayern has gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Augsburg has done so in 2 out of 5. For first-half goals, Bayern has gone over 1.5 in 3 out of 5 matches and over 1.5 in the second half in all 5 matches, whereas Augsburg has only 1 out of 5 in each half. Bayern most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (31%), while Augsburg scores in the 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals (25% each). Bayern concedes 46% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, while Augsburg concedes 33% in each of the three intervals after the 45th minute. Overall, the statistics indicate Bayern's clear dominance in attack and Augsburg's weak scoring ability. Considering the difference in attacking potential and total goal trends, a bet on under 4.5 goals at 1.53 seems optimal: Bayern can score a lot, but Augsburg rarely shows high scoring ability, and their average totals do not suggest an extremely high-scoring match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Bayern averages 6.2 corners per game, while Augsburg averages 5.2. In their last 5 matches, both teams have gone over 9.5 corners twice. Among the totals with a pair of odds, the closest to their average sum (11.4) is 10.5: over 10.5 is priced at 2.23, under 10.5 at 1.58. Bayern is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.02. In this match, it's logical to expect flank activity and a significant number of set-pieces, but the statistics do not guarantee an extremely high corner total.