Prediction for match Bayern — St. Pauli, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Bayern vs St. Pauli

The clash between Bayern and St. Pauli will take place on November 29, 2025, as part of the Bundesliga. According to the odds, Bayern is the clear favorite with a price of 1.14, a draw is at 10.00, and a victory for St. Pauli is offered at 25.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Bayern's success is at 86.24%, a draw at 9.83%, and St. Pauli's chance at 3.93%. Based on these figures, bookmakers virtually give St. Pauli no chance of earning points in this match.

Team Form and Secondary Stats

Over their last five matches, Bayern has averaged 58.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. St. Pauli shows 49% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In Bayern's last three matches: November 26, Arsenal vs Bayern 3-1, November 22, Bayern vs Freiburg 6-2, November 8, Union Berlin vs Bayern 2-2. St. Pauli's recent games: November 23, St. Pauli vs Union Berlin 0-1, November 9, Freiburg vs St. Pauli 2-1, November 1, St. Pauli vs Borussia M 0-4. Their last head-to-head was on March 29, 2025, ending with a 3-2 victory for Bayern, with the total over 2.5 being achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Bayern has consistently hit over 2.5 goals in their last five matches (5 out of 5 on over), while St. Pauli has done so in 2 out of 5. By halves, Bayern has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half in 5 out of 5 games and in the second half in 3 out of 5. St. Pauli has only 1 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Average stats: Bayern scores 2.8 goals, concedes 1.6, with a total match average of 4.4. St. Pauli scores an average of 0.4, concedes 2, with a total match average of 2.4. In terms of intervals, Bayern most frequently scores between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), while St. Pauli scores between 31-45 and 46-60 (40% each). Bayern most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (43%), and St. Pauli between 31-45 and 61-75 (29% each). Based on this data, a convincing win for Bayern and low scoring from St. Pauli is logical, making a bet on Bayern's individual total over 2.5 at 1.50 justified.

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners for Bayern over 5 matches is 4, and for St. Pauli, it is 6. The frequency of total corners over 9.5: both teams have 3 out of 5. The nearest to the average total is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 - 1.94, under 9.5 - 1.80. For the outcome on corners, Bayern is the favorite with odds of 1.06. Based on St. Pauli's average corner activity and Bayern's standard scoring, it's reasonable to expect at least 9-10 corners in the match, with Bayern having the edge in this metric.