Prediction for match Bayern — Freiburg, 22.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On November 22, in the Bundesliga, Bayern will face Freiburg. According to the odds: Bayern's victory is priced at 1.23, a draw at 7.42, and Freiburg's win at 14.70. The probability distribution for 1X2 is: Bayern - 80.04%, draw - 13.27%, Freiburg - 6.70%. For the total goals market, over 3.5 is at 1.98, under 3.5 at 1.96. Both teams to score: yes - 1.86, no - 1.86. For the first half outcome: Bayern to win is at 1.54, draw at 3.00, Freiburg at 9.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bayern has an average possession of 60.8%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and has 2.4 offsides per game. Freiburg's stats are: 46.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last five games, Bayern defeated Bayer 3-0, Cologne 4-1, drew 2-2 with Union, beat PSG 2-1, and Borussia M 3-0. Freiburg beat St. Pauli 2-1, Nice 3-1, Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1, drew 0-0 with Union Berlin, and lost to Bayer 0-2. In their head-to-head on January 25, 2025, Freiburg vs. Bayern ended 1-2; the over 2.5 goals was achieved. In the last three meetings, Bayern has won twice and drawn once.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Bayern had over 2.5 goals in all 5, while Freiburg had it in 3 out of 5. In the first halves, Bayern had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, Freiburg in 2 out of 5. In the second halves, Bayern had over 1.5 goals 3 times out of 5, Freiburg once out of 5. The average goals per match: Bayern - 3.6, Freiburg - 2.6. Goals scored: Bayern - 2.8, Freiburg - 1.6. Goals conceded: Bayern - 0.8, Freiburg - 1. Bayern most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%), while Freiburg peaks from the 16th to 30th minutes (50%). Bayern is vulnerable to conceding in the 31-45 (36%) and 61-75 (36%) minute intervals, while Freiburg is in the 0-15 and 31-45 (both 29%). Bayern clearly has the upper hand in recent matches, yet both teams regularly score and concede. Based on the frequency of over 2.5 goals and average figures, the best bet appears to be on over 3.5 goals at 1.98.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bayern averages 5.4 corners per game, Freiburg 4.6. In five matches, Bayern had over 9.5 corners 4 times, Freiburg 3 times. For corner totals: over 8 is at 1.53, under 8 at 2.41; over 9.5 is at 2.17, under 9.5 at 1.64. Bayern is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.08. Considering both teams' stats, a logical choice would be on over 8 or over 9.5 corners, given their attacking style and frequency of higher totals.