Prediction for match Bayern — Sporting CP, 09.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages

On December 9, 2025, in the UEFA Champions League, Bayern will face Sporting CP. The odds for Bayern to win are 1.29, a draw is at 6.55, and a victory for Sporting CP is at 11.40. In terms of probabilities, Bayern is rated at 76.33%, a draw at 15.03%, and Sporting CP at 8.64%. Bayern stands out as the clear favorite in this matchup, as confirmed by both the odds and probability percentages. Expectations for the match include high scoring potential, considering the attacking prowess of both teams in recent games.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Bayern has shown confident ball possession at an average of 66.4%, commits 2.2 offsides, receives 2.2 yellow cards, and concedes 9.8 fouls per game. Sporting CP averages 58.2% possession, 0.8 offsides, 2.8 yellow cards, and 13.2 fouls. Bayern has recently secured a massive 5-0 win over Stuttgart (06.12.2025), a 3-2 victory against Union Berlin (03.12.2025), and a 3-1 win over St. Pauli (29.11.2025). Sporting CP drew 1-1 with Benfica (05.12.2025), thrashed Estrela 4-0 (30.11.2025), and defeated Brugge 3-0 (26.11.2025). These results highlight the attacking focus of both teams and their ability to create chances in front of goal. In their five-match series, Bayern shows consistency in additional metrics, while Sporting CP is noted for its high discipline and low number of offsides. On average, both teams demonstrate good ball control and activity in duels in recent games.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Bayern's average total goals per match is 5.2, with 3.6 scored by the team and 1.6 conceded. Sporting CP averages 2.8, with 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. Over the last 5 games, Bayern has surpassed the 2.5 total goals mark in all 5 matches, while Sporting CP has done so in 3 out of 5. By halves, Bayern has over 1.5 goals in the first half in 4 out of 5 matches and the same in the second half, while Sporting CP has over 1.5 in the first half in all 5 matches and 0 out of 5 in the second half. Bayern most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (36%), while Sporting CP scores most often in the first 30 minutes (30% in two intervals). In terms of goals conceded, Bayern is most vulnerable at the start of the match (0-15 minutes - 33%), while Sporting CP is also most vulnerable in the first 15 minutes (50%). The statistics on totals and goals indicate a high likelihood of a high-scoring match with an emphasis on Bayern's activity and a significant number of goals. Considering the frequency of surpassing the over 2.5 goals mark and high average totals, betting on over 3.0 total goals at odds of 1.53 appears optimal.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Bayern and Sporting CP each average 4.4 corners per game. In their last 5 matches, both teams have only once recorded a total of over 9.5 corners. The corner market line closest to the combined average is 8.5. There is no odds for over 8.5 corners, but the line suggests that over 9.5 corners is rare. Based on this statistic, it is logical to expect that the match will not set records for the number of corners, and a moderate total in this regard seems justified. On average, the teams are not inclined towards high values in this component, as confirmed by their series.