Prediction for match Bayern — VfL Wolfsburg

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Bayern vs VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga match is scheduled for January 11, 2026. According to 1X2 odds, Bayern is the clear favorite: a win is priced at 1.13, a draw at 11.60, and a Wolfsburg victory at 22.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Bayern 87.05%, draw 8.48%, Wolfsburg 4.47%. For total goals, bookmakers offer Over 3.75 at 1.58, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring encounter. The option for both teams to score: yes is at 1.77, no at 1.96, and Bayern's individual total over 2.5 is at 1.40.

Team Results and Statistics

Bayern has shown confident play in their last five matches: on December 21, 2025, they thrashed Heidenheim 4-0, drew 2-2 with Mainz on December 14, defeated Sporting Lisbon 3-1 on December 9, achieved a big victory over Stuttgart 5-0 on December 6, and won against Union Berlin 3-2 on December 3. Wolfsburg in the same period played as follows: lost to Freiburg 3-4 on December 20, defeated Borussia M 3-1 on December 13, won against Union Berlin 3-1 on December 6, drew 1-1 with Eintracht Frankfurt on November 30, and lost to Bayer 1-3 on November 22. In their head-to-head on January 18, 2025, Bayern beat Wolfsburg 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have shown a strong over-profile: Bayern's total over 2.5 hit 5 out of 5, Wolfsburg's 4 out of 5. The average goal tally in Bayern's matches during this period is 4.4, Wolfsburg's is 4.2. Bayern scores an average of 3.4 and concedes 1, while Wolfsburg scores 2.2 and concedes 2. By halves, Bayern's total over 1.5 in the second half occurred 4 times out of 5, in the first half 3 out of 5. Wolfsburg's second half saw 3 out of 5, first half 4 out of 5 over 1.5. By intervals, Bayern most frequently scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Wolfsburg scores most often between 46-60 minutes (33%). Bayern most frequently concedes at the end (76-90 minutes, 33%), while Wolfsburg is most vulnerable in the opening 15 minutes (23%) and 61-75 minutes (23%). This data suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, and the bet on over 3.75 at 1.58 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Bayern averages 5 corners per match, Wolfsburg 3. In the last five games, Bayern hasn't exceeded the total over 9.5 corners, while Wolfsburg has hit over 9.5 in 3 out of 5. Among available corner totals is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 is at 1.61, under 9.5 at 2.22. For corners, Bayern is the favorite with odds of 1.04. Given the average activity of the teams, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems logical, but it's worth noting that Bayern hasn't hit this total in their last five matches, while Wolfsburg has 3 times out of 5. Overall, a moderate number of corners is expected, with a slight edge to Bayern in this aspect.