Prediction for match Beijing Guoan — Qingdao Jonoon

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Chinese Super League on 15.05.2026, Beijing Guoan will face Qingdao Jonoon. According to the 1X2 odds, Beijing Guoan is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.38, a draw at 5.31, and a win for Qingdao Jonoon at 7.29. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Beijing Guoan - 69%, draw - 17.93%, Qingdao Jonoon - 13.06%. The odds for over 2.75 goals is 1.53, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.63, no at 2.14, and over 3.0 goals is at 1.72. Beijing Guoan's individual total over 2 is priced at 1.59, while Qingdao Jonoon over 0.5 is at 1.50. A draw in the first half is at 2.64.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Beijing Guoan averages 63% possession, 1 yellow card, 11.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Qingdao Jonoon holds the ball 43.6% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. Beijing Guoan's last three matches were: 10.05.2026 - Beijing Guoan 2-2 Shanghai Port, 06.05.2026 - Beijing Guoan 3-0 Dalian Pro, 02.05.2026 - Yunnan Yukun 3-3 Beijing Guoan. Qingdao Jonoon's recent results: 10.05.2026 - Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 Dalian Pro, 06.05.2026 - Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Qingdao Jonoon, 02.05.2026 - Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 Shanghai Port. The last head-to-head match was on 26.10.2025, ending in a 4-2 win for Qingdao Jonoon.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Beijing Guoan's matches went over 2.5 goals 4 times, while Qingdao Jonoon also had 4 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals. The average number of goals in Beijing Guoan's matches is 4, and Qingdao Jonoon's is 3.8, indicating high scoring. Beijing Guoan averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon scores 2.6 and concedes 1.2. In the second half, Beijing Guoan had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, Qingdao Jonoon in all 5. In the first half, both teams had over 1.5 goals twice. Beijing Guoan scores most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes (36%) and concedes between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each). Qingdao Jonoon scores most frequently in the 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (23% each). They concede most often between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each). Given the regular occurrence of high totals and the high average scoring of both teams, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.53 seems reasonable.

Corner Totals Analysis

Beijing Guoan averages 8.4 corners per match, Qingdao Jonoon 5.2. In their last 5 games, Beijing Guoan's matches went over 9.5 corners 3 times, Qingdao Jonoon's 4 times. The market offers odds for over 9.5 corners at 1.62, and under at 2.15. The outcome for corners tends to favor Beijing Guoan, with odds of 1.22 for them to win on corners. Considering the average total corners for both teams (13.6), betting on over 9.5 corners looks justified. Individual performances show Beijing Guoan consistently exceeds 8 corners, while Qingdao Jonoon maintains around 5. Both teams regularly create chances and earn set pieces, further supporting the over 9.5 corners option.