Prediction for match Beijing Guoan — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The match between Beijing Guoan and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in the Chinese Super League is scheduled for 25.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Beijing Guoan's victory is priced at 1.47, a draw at 4.64, and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's win at 6.54. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Beijing Guoan - 64.87%, draw - 20.55%, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - 14.58%. Beijing Guoan is the favorite according to the odds, but the gap in probability between a draw and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is not large enough to completely rule out competition. Besides the outcome, there are options for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for interesting bets with odds above 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Beijing Guoan played as follows: 21.04.2026 Sichuan Jiuniu - Beijing Guoan 0-1, 17.04.2026 Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan 0-0, 12.04.2026 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 1-2. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's last three matches showed these results: 21.04.2026 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan 1-2, 17.04.2026 Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0-3, 12.04.2026 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao Zhongnen 1-1. In their last head-to-head encounter on 03.08.2025, Beijing Guoan and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger ended in a 2-2 draw. Over a five-match span, Beijing Guoan averages 57.8% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and is caught offside 3 times per game. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger averages 42% possession, 2 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Beijing Guoan has an average of 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger shows a more prolific profile: 3.2 goals on average, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Beijing Guoan has 2 out of 5 matches over, while Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has 4 out of 5 over. By halves: Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred only once for each team out of 5, but in the second half, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger recorded 5 out of 5 over 1.5, while Beijing Guoan had 1 out of 5. By time intervals: Beijing Guoan most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (50%) and concedes late (76-90 minutes) - 60%. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger most often scores in the 76-90 minute interval (38%) and concedes in the same period (56%). Overall, considering Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's high scoring rate and frequent over 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.59 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Beijing Guoan averages 5.2 corners per match, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - 4.6. For over 9.5 corners: Beijing Guoan had 4 out of 5 matches over, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - 2 out of 5. There is a line for total corners at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.57, under 9.5 at 2.23. Based on this data, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, given Beijing Guoan's regularity in exceeding this total and the proximity of the average corners to this value. It's also worth noting that both teams consistently receive 2 yellow cards per match, with Beijing Guoan committing more fouls (13 compared to 9.6 by their opponent).