Prediction for match Belgrano — Atletico Sarmiento

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Argentine Professional League on May 3, Belgrano will face Atletico Sarmiento. Bookmakers give Belgrano a winning chance with odds of 1.71, corresponding to a 54.82% probability. The odds for a draw are 3.32 (28.23%), while a victory for Atletico Sarmiento is priced at 5.53 (16.95%). The goal total options are quite varied: over 2.5 goals is at 2.56, and under 2.5 goals is at 1.49. The odds for both teams to score: yes is 2.35, and no is 1.53. These odds suggest bookmakers are leaning towards a low-scoring game, with Belgrano seen as the favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Belgrano averages 52.8% possession, 1.4 warnings, 8.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Atletico Sarmiento shows 44.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Recent matches for Belgrano: April 26, 2026 - Belgrano vs Gimnasia - 0-1, April 20, 2026 - Barracas Central vs Belgrano - 0-0, April 11, 2026 - Belgrano vs Aldosivi - 1-0. For Atletico Sarmiento: April 25, 2026 - Atletico Sarmiento vs Tigre - 1-0, April 19, 2026 - Rosario Central vs Atletico Sarmiento - 2-1, April 13, 2026 - Atletico Sarmiento vs Gimnasia - 1-2. Notable recent head-to-head: August 4, 2024, Atletico Sarmiento and Belgrano drew 0-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Belgrano vs Atletico Sarmiento Match

In the last five matches, Belgrano's average total goals is 1.6, with the team scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. Atletico Sarmiento has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. Belgrano has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches, Atletico Sarmiento in 3 of 5. By halves: Belgrano has over 1.5 goals in the first half 1 out of 5 times, and in the second half 2 out of 5. Atletico Sarmiento is similar: 1 of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 2 of 5 in the second. Belgrano scores most frequently between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (33% each), while Atletico Sarmiento scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each). Belgrano concedes most often between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 61st-75th minutes (33% each), Atletico Sarmiento between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each). Both teams to score: no is offered at 1.53, which seems logical given Belgrano’s low scoring and Atletico Sarmiento's solid defense. Thus, betting on both teams not to score at odds of 1.53 looks like the optimal choice for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Belgrano averages 3.8 corners per match, while Atletico Sarmiento averages 3. For total corners over 9.5, Belgrano has 1 out of 5, Atletico Sarmiento 2 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to their average figures is 7.5 - over 7.5 corners is at 1.33, under at 2.86. Belgrano is favored to win the corners market with odds of 1.35. Overall, both teams do not show high corner numbers, and betting on under 9.5 corners (1.64) seems justified based on average values and recent match frequencies. You might also consider betting on Belgrano to win the corners, given the difference in average deliveries.