Prediction for match Benfica — Alverca, 08.02.2026

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Alverca

In the Primeira Liga on February 8th, Benfica will face Alverca. According to the 1X2 odds, bookmakers see Benfica as the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.23, a draw at 6.72, and an Alverca win at 14.20. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 78.76% for a Benfica win, 14.42% for a draw, and 6.82% for Alverca. This reflects Benfica's advantage in current form and statistics. In recent matches, both teams have shown varying levels of scoring, affecting the odds for totals and other markets.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Benfica had an average possession of 58.6%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Alverca lags in these metrics: 42% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Benfica's last three matches were: 01.02.2026 - Tondela vs Benfica - 0-0, 28.01.2026 - Benfica vs Real Madrid - 4-2, 25.01.2026 - Benfica vs Estrela - 4-0. Alverca's recent matches: 31.01.2026 - Alverca vs Estrela - 1-1, 25.01.2026 - Braga vs Alverca - 5-0, 17.01.2026 - Alverca vs Moreirense - 2-1. In their head-to-head on 31.08.2025, Alverca lost to Benfica 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Benfica averages 2.8 goals per game over their last 5 matches, while Alverca averages 3.2. Benfica scores 2 and concedes 0.8, while Alverca scores 1 and concedes 2.2. For the over 2.5 goals market: Benfica has 2 out of 5, Alverca has 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, and in the second half, Benfica had 3 out of 5, Alverca 4 out of 5. For goal intervals: Benfica most often scores between 46-60 minutes (40%), while Alverca scores in the same interval (29%). Benfica concedes most often between 16-30 minutes (60%), Alverca between 61-75 minutes (67%). The overall scoring and frequency of over totals support a bet on over 2.5 goals, offered at 1.72. Both teams tend to score after the break, further strengthening the case for this bet.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In their last 5 matches, Benfica averages 8.6 corners, Alverca 4.6. For the over 9.5 corners market: Benfica has 4 out of 5, Alverca 2 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (13.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.74, under at 1.97. In the corners market, Benfica is the favorite with odds of 1.05. Considering Benfica's high averages and frequent over 9.5 totals, a bet on the upper total for corners seems logical. It's also worth noting that Alverca delivers fewer corners, but the overall activity level in this component is quite high for both teams.