Prediction for match Benfica — AVS, 21.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On February 21, 2026, in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, Benfica will face AVS. The odds clearly favor Benfica: a win for them is at 1.06, a draw is priced at 15.50, and a victory for AVS is offered at 39.00. The probability distribution is as follows: Benfica - 91.28%, draw - 6.24%, AVS - 2.48%. This setup not only highlights Benfica's status as the favorite but also the significant gap in winning chances between the teams. The betting line also includes extended totals, both teams to score, and individual metrics, allowing for more value bets.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Benfica played as follows: 02/17/2026 - Benfica vs Real Madrid - 0-1, 02/13/2026 - Santa Clara vs Benfica - 1-2, 02/08/2026 - Benfica vs Alverca - 2-1. AVS's last three results were: 02/15/2026 - AVS vs Estoril - 3-0, 02/09/2026 - Famalicão vs AVS - 3-1, 02/05/2026 - Sporting Lisbon vs AVS - 3-2. Looking at their head-to-head, their last encounter was on 09/20/2025: AVS vs Benfica - 0-3. In additional metrics, over a five-match span, Benfica maintains 52.4% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 7.6 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. AVS holds 36.2% possession, receives 2.6 yellows, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. These figures highlight the difference in style and discipline between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Benfica averages 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded over five matches, with a total of 2.6 goals per game. AVS has higher figures: 1.8 scored, 2.6 conceded, and a total of 4.4 goals. Benfica has surpassed the over 2.5 total in 3 out of 5 matches, while AVS has done so in all 5. Benfica recorded over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, AVS once. In the second half, Benfica has only one over 1.5, while AVS has 5 out of 5. Benfica most frequently scores between 31-45 (29%), 46-60 (29%), and 76-90 (29%) minutes. AVS often scores between 46-60 (36%) and 61-75 (36%) minutes. Benfica concedes most between 16-30 (50%) minutes, while AVS concedes most between 76-90 (50%). This scoring ability, especially AVS's high total goals, frequent over 2.5 passes, and second-half activity suggest a bet on over 3.5 goals at 1.92 as the main option. This is supported by average totals, pass frequencies, and half-time dynamics.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Benfica averages 7.6 corners per match, AVS 5.2, totaling 12.8. Both teams have surpassed the over 9.5 corners total in 3 out of 5 games. The line closest to the average sum is the 9.5 total: over 9.5 is at 1.60, under 9.5 at 2.20. In terms of corner outcomes, Benfica is the favorite at 1.04. Given the high average corners and frequent over 9.5 passes, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical. It's also worth noting that Benfica consistently outperforms their opponent in this metric, and AVS also registers a decent number of corner kicks. In the last five matches, Benfica surpassed the 9.5 total three times, as did AVS, confirming a trend towards high activity in this component.