Prediction for match Benfica — Estoril, 03.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Primeira Liga on January 3, Benfica will face Estoril. According to the bookmakers, Benfica is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.26, a draw at 6.76, and Estoril's success at 10.80. The probabilities of outcomes are distributed as follows: Benfica - 76.74%, draw - 14.30%, Estoril - 8.95%. This setup confirms Benfica's status as a team capable of controlling the game and achieving results against lower-class opponents.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Benfica shows stable secondary metrics: possession at 51.4%, average yellow cards 1, fouls 11.4, offsides 1.6. Estoril's stats are possession 47.6%, yellow cards 2.6, fouls 13.8, offsides 1.4. Benfica's last three matches: December 28, 2025 Braga 2-2 Benfica, December 22, 2025 Benfica 1-0 Famalicão, December 17, 2025 Farense 0-2 Benfica. Estoril's recent games: December 27, 2025 Estoril 4-1 Alverca, December 19, 2025 Estoril 1-0 Braga, December 14, 2025 Famalicão 4-0 Estoril. In their last head-to-head on May 3, 2025, Estoril lost to Benfica 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Benfica averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded over the last five matches, with a total average of 2.6 goals per game. Estoril averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with a total of 3.4 goals in their games. Over five matches, Benfica had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 three times. Estoril had over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. In the first half, Benfica had over 1.5 goals twice, Estoril three times. In the second half, Benfica had over 1.5 goals once, Estoril three times. Benfica most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (60%), while Estoril scores between the 46th and 60th minute (38%). Benfica is most vulnerable between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), and Estoril concedes most from the 61st to the 75th minute (50%). Considering both teams' scoring averages, the frequency of over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.48 is logical, but over 2.75 goals at 1.60 seems more confident given both sides' attacking profiles and stable goal metrics.

Corner Bets

Both teams average 5.2 corners per match in their last five games. Benfica had over 9.5 corners in only 1 of their last 5 matches, while Estoril had over 9.5 in 3 out of 5. For corner total betting, the odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.89. Benfica is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.11. Based on statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners is justified, especially considering both teams' attacking styles and similar corner delivery metrics.