Prediction for match Benfica — Napoli

Odds and Outcome Probability

In the UEFA Champions League on December 10th, Benfica will face Napoli. According to 1X2 odds, a win for Benfica is priced at 2.41, Napoli at 3.27, and a draw at 3.39. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Benfica - 40.85%, Napoli - 30.11%, draw - 29.04%. For total goals, the closest to the average option is Over 2.0 at 1.50, while Over 2.5 is offered at 2.08. Both teams to score: yes - 1.77, no - 1.96. For individual totals, Benfica's Over 1 is at 1.52, and Napoli's Over 1 is at 1.87. Among double chances, the safest option is X2 at 1.64, but based on probabilities and goal profiles, the match leans towards being high-scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Benfica averages 53.6% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 9.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Napoli averages 51.2% possession, 1.6 cautions, 11.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. Benfica's last three matches were: December 5th - Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon 1-1, November 29th - Nacional vs Benfica 1-2, November 25th - Ajax vs Benfica 0-2. Napoli's recent games include: December 7th - Napoli vs Juventus 2-1, December 3rd - Napoli vs Cagliari 10-9, November 30th - Roma vs Napoli 0-1. Notably, on December 6, 2016, Benfica faced Napoli and lost 1-2.

Goals Statistics

Both teams average 2.4 goals per match over the last five games. Benfica scores 1.4 and concedes 1.0 per game, while Napoli scores 1.8 and concedes 0.6. Both teams have seen Over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, which is 40%. For Over 2.0, both teams average 2.4 goals per game. By halves: Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred in 1 out of 5 matches for both teams, and in the second half, it was 2 out of 5. Benfica scores most frequently between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (50%), and concedes most in the final stages (76th-90th, 44%). Napoli scores most frequently in three intervals: 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 61st-75th (22% each), and concedes mainly between the 46th-60th minutes (50%). Given the average scoring and goal distribution by halves, betting on Over 2.0 goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Benfica averages 6 corners per game, Napoli 5.6. For Over 9.5 corners, Benfica has hit this mark in 2 out of 5, Napoli in 1 out of 5. The line for total corners offers Over 9.5 at 1.82, Under 9.5 at 1.92. Benfica is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.76. Based on these stats, betting on Over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering both teams' averages and the frequency in their last five matches. You might also consider betting on Benfica to win the corner count, based on their average deliveries.