Prediction for match Benfica — Real Madrid

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Champions League on February 17, 2026, Benfica takes on Real Madrid. Real Madrid is favored with odds of 1.97, while Benfica's victory is at 3.84, and a draw is priced at 4.04. In terms of probability: Real Madrid - 49.98%, Benfica - 25.64%, draw - 24.37%. These figures indicate that Real Madrid holds a significant advantage according to bookmakers and analysts. Additionally, the odds for total goals suggest a tendency towards a high-scoring affair: over 2.5 goals is at 1.49, and over 2.75 is at 1.61. The option for both teams to score: yes is priced at 1.47, and no at 2.53. Individual team totals: Benfica over 1.5 goals at 2.40, Real Madrid over 1.5 goals at 1.69. Double chance options: 1X at 1.93, X2 at 1.31, 12 at 1.28. Overall, the betting line for the match is rich in options, but Real Madrid remains the favorite for the outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Benfica averages 57.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 1 offside. Real Madrid's averages are: 58.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Benfica's recent matches: February 13, 2026, Santa Clara - Benfica 1-2, February 8, 2026, Benfica - Alverca 2-1, February 1, 2026, Tondela - Benfica 0-0. For Real Madrid: February 14, 2026, Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4-1, February 8, 2026, Valencia - Real Madrid 0-2, February 1, 2026, Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2-1. In their head-to-head on January 28, 2026, Benfica defeated Real Madrid 4-2. These results highlight the stability of both teams in recent matches and their capability to secure victories and demonstrate confident play.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Benfica vs Real Madrid Match

Over their last five matches, Benfica averages 3.2 goals per game, while Real Madrid averages 3.6. Both teams average 2.4 goals scored, with Benfica conceding 0.8 and Real Madrid 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Benfica has 4 out of 5, Real Madrid 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Benfica 3 times, for Real Madrid 2 times. In the second half, Benfica has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, Real Madrid 4 out of 5. Goal intervals: Benfica most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (36%), while Real Madrid scores between 31-45 minutes (30%). Benfica most often concedes between 16-30 minutes (60%), Real Madrid between 46-60 minutes (38%). These statistics indicate high scoring potential for both teams, regular over 2.5 occurrences, and support across halves. Considering the average scoring rates, frequent over 2.5 occurrences, and the attacking profile of both sides, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Benfica averages 8.2 corners per match, Real Madrid 6.4. For over 9.5 corners: Benfica has 3 out of 5 matches, Real Madrid 5 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, 9.5 is closest to the combined average (14.6). The odds for over 9.5 corners are not specified, nor are those for under 9.5. Based on average values, Benfica tends to have more corners, but odds for this market are unavailable. Overall, both teams are inclined to active play on the wings and create many opportunities, leading to a high number of corners. Betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering the recent match statistics of both teams.