Prediction for match Birmingham — Charlton Athletic

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

Birmingham and Charlton Athletic will face off in the Championship on December 13, 2025. Birmingham is the favorite with odds of 1.59 for a win, 3.84 for a draw, and 5.60 for Charlton Athletic's victory. The outcome probabilities are as follows: Birmingham - 58.89%, draw - 24.39%, Charlton Athletic - 16.72%. Bookmakers clearly favor Birmingham in this matchup, as reflected in both the odds and the probabilities. The difference between the draw and Charlton Athletic's win probabilities is significant, underscoring Birmingham's status as the favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five games, Birmingham has had 56% ball possession, averaging 1.6 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1 offside per match. Charlton Athletic, over a similar period, has 37.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Birmingham played as follows: 09.12.2025 QPR - Birmingham 2-1, 06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham 3-1, 01.12.2025 Birmingham - Watford 2-1. Charlton Athletic's last three games were: 09.12.2025 Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough 1-2, 29.11.2025 Coventry - Charlton Athletic 3-1, 25.11.2025 Stoke City - Charlton Athletic 3-0. In their head-to-head match on 15.02.2025, Birmingham defeated Charlton Athletic 1-0.

Goals by Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Birmingham has an average total of 3.4 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 per game. Charlton Athletic has the same average total of 3.4, but with a more pronounced difference in goals scored and conceded: 0.6 scored and 2.8 conceded. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches. Birmingham has had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, while Charlton Athletic has done so four times out of five. In the second half, Birmingham has exceeded 1.5 goals only twice out of five, while Charlton Athletic has not done so at all. Birmingham most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%), and Charlton Athletic in the same interval (44%). Birmingham concedes most often in the final stages (76-90, 40%), while Charlton Athletic concedes between the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (38% each). Considering Birmingham's high scoring, Charlton Athletic's weak defense, and both teams frequently exceeding 2.5 total goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.99 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Birmingham averages 4.6 corners per match, while Charlton Athletic averages 2.6. In a five-match series, Birmingham exceeded 9.5 corners three times out of five, and Charlton Athletic did so twice. The line for corner totals is set at 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.80, under 9.5 - 1.90. Birmingham has the edge in corners, with a win on corners at 1.22. The combined average for both teams is 7.2 corners per game, slightly below the 9.5 line. However, Birmingham consistently delivers more, and over 9.5 corners have been recorded in most of their recent matches. When choosing a bet on corners, considering over 9.5 corners is advisable, given Birmingham's trend toward high numbers.