Prediction for match Birmingham — Leicester

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

Birmingham will face Leicester in the Championship on February 7, 2026. The odds for Birmingham's win are 1.73, a draw is at 3.80, and Leicester's victory is valued at 4.41. Looking at the probabilities, Birmingham has a 54.13% chance, a draw is at 24.64%, and Leicester at 21.23%. Birmingham stands out as the favorite in this match, based on the odds and the distribution of winning chances. The gap in probabilities between the teams is quite noticeable, which is reflected in the odds for the main outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Birmingham had an average possession of 51.4%, committed 10.2 fouls, was caught offside 1.8 times, and received 0.8 yellow cards. Leicester's stats are as follows: 59.4% possession, 11.6 fouls, 1 offside, and 1.4 yellow cards. Birmingham's last three matches: January 31 - Oxford United 0-2 Birmingham, January 24 - Birmingham 1-1 Stoke City, January 20 - Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Birmingham. Leicester's last three games: January 31 - Leicester 0-2 Charlton Athletic, January 24 - Leicester 1-2 Oxford United, January 20 - Wrexham 1-1 Leicester. In their head-to-head on August 29, 2025, Leicester defeated Birmingham 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Birmingham averages a total of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. Leicester averages 2.4 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Birmingham had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Leicester had 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals, Birmingham was prolific in 4 out of 5 matches, Leicester in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Birmingham recorded over 1.5 goals only once in 5 matches, Leicester twice. In the second half, Birmingham had 2 out of 5 go over 1.5, Leicester 3 out of 5. Birmingham most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Leicester scores between the 46th and 60th and the 76th and 90th minutes (40% each). Birmingham concedes most often between the 61st and 75th and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each), Leicester in the 31st to 45th minute (38%). Overall, both teams are not prone to frequent over 2.5 goals, and Birmingham is noted for its solid defense. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.97 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Birmingham averages 5.2 corners per match, Leicester 6.4. In the last 5 games, Birmingham played over 9.5 corners three times, Leicester twice. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average is 9.5. Over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.71, under 9.5 is also at 1.71. Birmingham is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.38. Given both teams' activity in delivering corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners looks logical, but betting on Birmingham to win on corners also deserves attention.