Prediction for match Birmingham — QPR

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Birmingham and QPR will face off on March 11, 2026, in the English Championship. According to the odds, Birmingham is the favorite with a win priced at 1.72, a draw at 3.64, and a QPR victory at 4.75. In terms of probability percentages, Birmingham's win is estimated at 54.51%, a draw at 25.76%, and a QPR win at 19.74%. This suggests Birmingham's advantage according to analysts, but a draw is also a possibility. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, allowing for interesting bets on match productivity.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Birmingham lost to Charlton Athletic 0-1 (07.03.2026), Middlesbrough 1-3 (02.03.2026), and Millwall 0-3 (25.02.2026). QPR suffered defeats to Middlesbrough 0-4 (08.03.2026), Sheffield United 0-2 (28.02.2026), and Southampton 0-5 (24.02.2026). Over a five-match span, Birmingham averages 52.2% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. During the same period, QPR holds 43% possession, receives 1 booking, commits 10.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per match. In their last head-to-head on 09.12.2025, QPR defeated Birmingham 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Birmingham has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 games, while QPR has seen this in 4 games. In the first half, Birmingham had at least two goals in 3 out of 5 games, and QPR in 4 out of 5. In the second half, Birmingham saw over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, and QPR in 3 out of 5. Birmingham's average total goals are 2.6, while QPR's are 3.8. Both teams score an average of 0.8 goals per game, but QPR concedes 3, while Birmingham concedes 1.8. Birmingham most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), and concedes in the first 15 minutes (50%). QPR most often scores between the 31st-45th minutes (43%) and concedes between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (25% each). Given the high scoring nature of QPR's matches, frequent over 2.5 totals for both teams, and QPR's defensive vulnerabilities, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.95 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Birmingham averages 6.4 corners per game, while QPR averages 5. In the last five matches, both teams saw over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games. The line for total corners offers over 9.5 at 1.63, under 9.5 at 2.13. Birmingham is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.25. Considering the average figures for both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners appears logical for this match. It's also worth noting that Birmingham consistently delivers more than 6 corners per game, while QPR maintains around 5, confirming a trend towards active wing play.