Prediction for match Birmingham — Wrexham

Match Odds and Probabilities

On April 12, in the Championship, Birmingham will face Wrexham. The odds for Birmingham to win are 2.04, for Wrexham's success - 3.44, and a draw is priced at 3.50. In terms of outcome probabilities: Birmingham is rated at 45.96%, a draw at 26.79%, and Wrexham at 27.25%. Birmingham is the favorite in this matchup, but the gap in chances is not overwhelming. The bookmakers' choice reflects a cautious approach to this encounter, considering the difference in team performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Birmingham lost to Ipswich Town 1-2 (06.04.2026), Blackburn Rovers 0-1 (03.04.2026), and Derby County 0-1 (21.03.2026). Wrexham, in their last three games, played against Southampton 1-5 (07.04.2026), drew with West Bromwich 2-2 (03.04.2026), and defeated Sheffield United 2-1 (21.03.2026). On average over five matches, Birmingham has 56.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Wrexham has 47.6% possession, 1.2 yellows, 9.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on October 3, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Birmingham shows low scoring in their last five matches: the average total goals in their games is 1.6, with themselves scoring 0.6 and conceding 1 goal per game. Only in one of Birmingham's last five matches was the total over 2.5, with four being under. In terms of halves, Birmingham had the total over 1.5 in the first half twice out of five and never in the second. Wrexham, on the other hand, shows an over-profile: 3.8 goals on average per match, 1.6 scored, 2.2 conceded, with four out of five games over 2.5 total. In the first half, Wrexham had three out of five over 1.5, and in the second half, four out of five. Birmingham most often scores and concedes between 31-45 minutes (60% and 50% respectively). Wrexham's most frequent goals are from 16 to 45 minutes (33% each), and conceded goals from 46 to 60 and 76 to 90 minutes (30% each). Considering Birmingham's low scoring and Wrexham's high scoring, as well as frequent unders for Birmingham and overs for Wrexham, the optimal choice seems to be a bet on under 2.5 total goals at 1.97.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last five matches, Birmingham averages 6.4 corners, and Wrexham 4.8. In three out of five games for both teams, the total corners were over 9.5. The closest to the average total is 9.5, for which there are a couple of odds: total corners over 9.5 is priced at 1.69, under 9.5 at 2.04. Based on corner outcomes, Birmingham is the favorite with odds of 1.40. Given the average corner activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering the frequent occurrence of this total in recent matches for both teams.