Prediction for match Blackburn Rovers — Derby County, 08.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On November 8th in the Championship, Blackburn Rovers face Derby County. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Blackburn Rovers win at 1.95, draw at 3.30, Derby County win at 4.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Blackburn Rovers 48.11%, draw 28.43%, Derby County 23.46%. The most likely outcome appears to be a win for Blackburn Rovers, but the draw percentage is also quite high, reflecting a certain caution from the bookmakers in assessing the teams' strengths.

Team Form and Secondary Statistics

In a five-match series, Blackburn Rovers show averages of 47.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, 2.4 offsides. Derby County over the same period: 41.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, 1.8 offsides. Blackburn Rovers' last three matches: November 4 - Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers 0-1, November 1 - Leicester - Blackburn Rovers 0-2, October 25 - Blackburn Rovers - Southampton 2-1. Derby County's last three matches: November 4 - Derby County - Hull City 2-1, November 1 - Sheffield United - Derby County 1-3, October 25 - Derby County - QPR 1-0. In the last head-to-head on March 8, 2025, Derby County defeated Blackburn Rovers 2-1 - over 2.5 goals was achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Blackburn Rovers have an average of 2.4 goals per game, Derby County 2.0. In the same period, both teams have surpassed over 2.5 goals twice out of five, with three matches finishing under. In the first half, over 1.5 goals did not occur for either team, while in the second half, Blackburn Rovers had over 1.5 goals three times out of five, Derby County twice. Average goals scored: Blackburn Rovers 1.2, Derby County 1.4. Goals conceded: Blackburn Rovers 1.2, Derby County 0.6. Among the intervals when teams most frequently score, Blackburn Rovers stand out in the 46-60 and 76-90 minutes - 40% each. Derby County is most prolific in the 16-30 minute interval - 33%. For goals conceded: Blackburn Rovers most often concede in the 16-30 and 61-75 minute intervals (29% each), Derby County sees 50% of all goals conceded in the 46-60 minute. Both teams are not inclined to explosive scoring in the first half, with Derby County's defense being more reliable. In this situation, betting on under 2.5 goals seems logical, supported by average scoring and the frequency of this outcome.

Corners in the Match

In terms of corners, Blackburn Rovers earn an average of 5 per match, Derby County 6.4. In the last five games, over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for Blackburn Rovers, 4 times for Derby County. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.98. For the outcome on corners, Blackburn Rovers are the favorites with odds of 1.62. Considering the frequency of the total and the teams' statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but the main focus should be on both teams' low scoring rate.