Prediction for match Bologna — Milan

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on February 3rd, Bologna faces Milan. According to the odds, Milan is the favorite with odds of 2.18 to win, a draw is at 3.54, and Bologna's success is valued at 3.64. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Milan - 45.15%, draw - 27.81%, Bologna - 27.04%. This percentage spread confirms that Milan has the advantage, but Bologna is not seen as an underdog by the estimations.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bologna has shown good results: on January 29th, they defeated Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-0, lost to Genoa 2-3 on January 25th, and drew 2-2 with Celtic on January 22nd. They also suffered a defeat against Fiorentina 1-2 and won against Verona 3-2. During the same period, Milan drew 1-1 with Roma on January 25th, won against Lecce 1-0 on January 18th, defeated Como 3-1, and also drew 1-1 with Fiorentina and Genoa. In their last head-to-head encounter on September 14, 2025, Milan was stronger, winning against Bologna 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Bologna exhibits a strong over-profile: in a five-match series, the total over 2.5 was achieved 5 out of 5 times, with an average of 4 goals in their matches. The team scores an average of 2.2 goals per game and concedes 1.8. In terms of halves, Bologna had a total over 1.5 in the first half three times and in the second half three times out of five matches. Milan, on the other hand, only exceeded the total over 2.5 once in their last five games, with an average total of 2.2 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 per game. In the first half, Milan only once played over 1.5, but in the second half, they exceeded the total over 1.5 four times out of five. In terms of intervals, both teams most frequently score between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes: Bologna has 38% of goals in these segments, Milan has 40%. Bologna concedes more often between 31-45 minutes (42%), Milan - at the end (76-90 minutes, 43%). Given Bologna's high scoring rate, Milan's regular second-half goals, and frequent total over 2.5 for one of the teams, betting on total over 2.5 at 2.07 seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Bologna averages 7.8 corners per match, Milan - 6.8. For the frequency of total over 9.5 corners, Bologna achieved this 2 times out of 5, Milan - 4 out of 5. Looking at the odds, the total over 9.5 corners is at 2.00, under 9.5 is at 1.95. Bologna is favored in corners with odds of 1.90. Based on the average figures of both teams, an active game on the flanks and a large number of set-pieces is expected, increasing the chances of exceeding the total over 9.5 corners.