Prediction for match Bologna — Roma

Odds and Probabilities of Match Outcome

In the Europa League on March 12, Bologna faces Roma. The odds are as follows: Roma's victory is priced at 2.57, a draw at 3.18, and Bologna's win at 3.21. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Roma - 38.33%, draw - 30.98%, Bologna - 30.69%. Roma has a slight edge in probability, but the difference with Bologna and a draw is not significant, indicating a closely contested match. There are also options for totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, but Roma appears more favorable based on the main chances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bologna played as follows: March 8 - Bologna vs Verona - 1-2, March 2 - Pisa vs Bologna - 0-1, February 26 - Bologna vs Brann - 1-0. Roma's last three matches: March 8 - Genoa vs Roma - 2-1, March 1 - Roma vs Juventus - 3-3, February 22 - Roma vs Cremonese - 3-0. The last head-to-head encounter was on August 23, 2025: Roma 1-0 Bologna. In the secondary statistics over five matches, Bologna's ball possession is 54%, with an average of 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. Roma's possession is 52.4%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. These figures indicate a similar level of discipline and activity in both attack and defense.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Bologna's average total goals per game is 1.4, scoring 1 on average and conceding 0.4. Roma's figures are significantly higher: 3.6 goals per match, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4. For the over 2.5 goals market: Bologna has only 1 out of 5 matches over, while Roma has 4 out of 5 over. In the first half, Bologna never exceeded 1.5 goals, while Roma did so in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Bologna had only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Roma had 4 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals: Bologna most frequently scored between the 46th and 60th minutes (67%), while Roma did so between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%). For goals conceded: Bologna most frequently conceded between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while Roma conceded 33% in both the 46-60 and 76-90 minute intervals. Based on this data, we can expect Roma to play more actively, especially in the second half, while Bologna will focus on defense. The bet on under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.64 and seems logical: Bologna has an under-profile, Roma has an over-profile, but Bologna's defense is reliable, and head-to-head matches often result in low scores.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over a five-match span, Bologna averages 6 corners, while Roma averages 5.4. For the over 9.5 corners market: Bologna has 4 out of 5 matches over, while Roma has only 1 out of 5. The line offers a total of 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is priced at 2.15, under 9.5 at 1.63. Bologna is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.93. In this match, an option on the total corners over 9.5 can be considered, given Bologna's high activity in this metric and frequent overs. Bologna also regularly outperforms opponents in the number of corners taken, as confirmed by the odds.