Prediction for match Bologna — Atalanta, 07.01.2026

Match Analysis: Bologna vs Atalanta

In Serie A on January 7, Bologna will face Atalanta. The odds for a win are as follows: Atalanta at 2.70, Bologna at 2.84, and a draw at 3.42. The probability percentages for the main bets are: Bologna - 34.69%, draw - 28.81%, Atalanta - 36.49%. Atalanta is the slight favorite according to the odds, but the difference between the teams is minimal, promising a closely contested match. The game is expected to be tactically interesting with various possible developments, considering the close odds and similar statistical indicators.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bologna lost 1-3 to Inter on January 4, drew 1-1 with Sassuolo on December 28, and lost 0-2 to Napoli on December 22. Atalanta beat Roma 1-0 on January 3, lost 0-1 to Inter on December 28, and defeated Genoa 1-0 on December 21. Over the last five games, Bologna averaged 48.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per match. Atalanta's averages are 53.6% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on April 13, 2025, Atalanta won 2-0 against Bologna. These figures show that Atalanta is more disciplined and controls the ball more often, while Bologna commits more fouls and receives more warnings.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Bologna's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred once, while it was under four times. For Atalanta, it was over twice and under three times. The average number of goals in Bologna's matches during this period was 2.2, and for Atalanta, it was 1.8. Bologna scores an average of 0.6 goals per game and concedes 1.6. Atalanta performs better with 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. By halves, Bologna had over 1.5 goals in the first half once and under four times, and in the second half over twice and under three times. Atalanta had no first halves over 1.5 goals, under five times, and in the second half over twice and under three times. Bologna most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 46-60 minute marks (43% each) and concedes most often between the 61-75 minute mark (50%). Atalanta scores most often between the 0-15 and 76-90 minute marks (40% each) and concedes most frequently in the 61-75 minute interval (50%). These data suggest a cautious game with few goals, especially in the first half. A bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.94 seems logical, given Bologna's low scoring and Atalanta's not very high average total.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In the last five matches, Bologna averaged 3.4 corners, and Atalanta 5.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Bologna was 2 out of 5, and for Atalanta, it was 3 out of 5. The odds for total corners are: over 9.5 at 2.07, under 9.5 at 1.70. Based on the combined average (9 corners between them), the line is set close to the actual figures. In corner bets, Bologna is the favorite with odds of 1.88. It makes sense to consider a total of around 9.5 corners, as both teams are capable of creating chances, but there is no excessive activity in this aspect. Also, Atalanta's higher average might influence the number of corners in this match.