Prediction for match Bologna — Fiorentina, 18.01.2026

Match Analysis: Bologna vs Fiorentina

In Serie A, Bologna will face Fiorentina on January 18. The odds for the match are as follows: Bologna to win at 2.27, a draw at 3.46, and Fiorentina to win at 3.50. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Bologna 43.39%, draw 28.47%, Fiorentina 28.14%. Based on these numbers, Bologna has the highest chance of winning, but the gap with Fiorentina isn't too large, promising a competitive match. Betting options on totals and both teams to score also look interesting, considering both teams' profiles in terms of scoring and defense.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bologna played as follows: January 15 - Verona 2-3 Bologna, January 10 - Como 1-1 Bologna, January 7 - Bologna 0-2 Atalanta. During the same period, Fiorentina had these matches: January 11 - Fiorentina 1-1 Milan, January 7 - Lazio 2-2 Fiorentina, January 4 - Fiorentina 1-0 Cremonese. Bologna has an average possession of 51%, while Fiorentina has 57.8%. On average yellow cards: Bologna 2, Fiorentina 2.6. Bologna averages 14.4 fouls per match, Fiorentina 12. Offsides: Bologna 1.8, Fiorentina 1. In their last head-to-head on October 26, 2025, the teams drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Bologna's average total goals is 3, while Fiorentina's is 2.8. Bologna scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8, while Fiorentina scores 1.8 and concedes 1. In the last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5, with the other three going under. By halves: both teams had only 1 out of 5 matches go over 1.5 goals in the first half, but in the second half, 3 out of 5 games were over 1.5 goals. Goal intervals: Bologna most frequently scores between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes (29% each), while Fiorentina scores most between 46-60 minutes (30%). Bologna concedes most frequently in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (25% each), while half of Fiorentina's conceded goals occur in the 76-90 minute interval. Considering both teams' average scoring, over 2.5 goals in two out of five matches, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.71 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Bologna averages 3.2 corners per match, Fiorentina 4.8, totaling 8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Bologna had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Fiorentina had 4 out of 5. Among the odds for the total corners, there's a pair on 8.5: over 8.5 at 1.72, under 8.5 at 2.06. Bologna is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.65. Given the average total corners and Fiorentina's frequency of going over, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified. Individual stats can also be considered: Bologna's average is lower, Fiorentina's higher, which is confirmed by the frequency of over 9.5 corners.