Prediction for match Bologna — Inter

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Italian Super Cup offers an intriguing matchup: Bologna faces Inter on December 19, 2025. According to the 1X2 odds, an Inter victory is priced at 1.69, a draw at 4.00, and a Bologna win at 5.73. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Inter - 58.23%, draw - 24.60%, Bologna - 17.17%. This setup indicates a clear confidence in Inter, which stands out as the favorite based on both the odds and recent statistical performances. Considering the probability gap between the teams exceeds 40%, expectations for Inter are quite high.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bologna has maintained 58.2% ball possession, averaged 1.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. During the same period, Inter has shown 54% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Bologna's last three matches were as follows: December 14 - Bologna vs Juventus 0-1, December 11 - Celta vs Bologna 1-2, December 7 - Lazio vs Bologna 1-1. In the same timeframe, Inter played: December 14 - Genoa vs Inter 1-2, December 9 - Inter vs Liverpool 0-1, December 6 - Inter vs Como 4-0. The last head-to-head match was on April 20, 2025: Bologna vs Inter 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have seen the total exceed 2.5 goals three times and stay below twice. Bologna averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas Inter's figures are notably higher: 2.6 scored and only 0.6 conceded, resulting in an overall average total of 3.2. By halves, Bologna saw more than 1.5 goals in the first half in three out of five games, and only once in the second half. Inter, on the other hand, had more than 1.5 goals in the second half three times, and twice in the first half. For goal intervals, Bologna most frequently scores and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (60% and 38% respectively), and also concedes 38% between the 61st and 75th minutes. Inter's goal distribution is more even: 20% in each of the four intervals between the 16th and 90th minutes, but they concede most often towards the end - 33% between the 61st and 75th and 76th and 90th minutes. Based on these data and considering the average scoring of both teams, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.96 seems logical: both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, with Inter displaying a particularly strong attacking profile.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Bologna takes 7 corners per game, Inter 5.6, totaling 12.6. In their last five matches, Bologna exceeded a total of 9.5 corners three times, Inter twice. Among the offered corner totals, the line of 11 corners is closest to the average sum: over 11 - 3.17, under 11 - 1.31. Inter is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.80. Considering Bologna's activity in taking corners and Inter's consistency, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 11 corners or Bologna's individual corner total.