Prediction for match Bologna — Lazio, 11.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Coppa Italia on February 11, Bologna will face Lazio. Bookmakers set Bologna's victory odds at 2.14, a draw at 3.33, and a Lazio win at 4.01. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Bologna - 45.95%, draw - 29.53%, Lazio - 24.52%. According to the odds, Bologna is the most likely winner, though the gap between a draw and a Lazio win isn't large. For goal totals, the odds are: over 2.5 goals at 2.52, under 2.5 at 1.62, both teams to score: yes - 2.04, no - 1.71. The first half over 0.5 goals is at 1.55, and the second half under 1.5 goals is at 1.50. This suggests bookmakers expect moderate scoring, but do not rule out goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

Bologna's last five matches resulted in a 0-1 loss to Parma on February 8, a 0-3 defeat to Milan on February 3, a 3-0 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv on January 29, a 2-3 loss to Genoa on January 25, and a 2-2 draw with Celtic on January 22. During the same period, Lazio drew 2-2 with Juventus on February 8, beat Genoa 3-2 on January 30, had a 0-0 draw with Lecce on January 24, defeated Como 3-0 on January 19, and won against Verona 1-0 on January 11. In their head-to-head on December 7, 2025, the teams drew 1-1. In secondary statistics, Bologna averaged 57.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 3 offsides per game over five matches. Lazio had 50.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides in the same period. This reflects Bologna's higher pressing and activity, with Lazio being less prone to fouls.

Goal Statistics

In a five-match series, Bologna's average total goals per match is 3.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game. Lazio's average total is 2.6, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. Bologna's over 2.5 goals hit 4 out of 5 times, Lazio 3 out of 5. First half over 1.5 goals occurred twice in Bologna's matches, once in Lazio's. In the second half, Bologna hit over 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times, Lazio 2 out of 5. Goal intervals show Bologna often scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (40% each), while Lazio scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (40% each). Bologna concedes most between 31-45 minutes (36%), Lazio in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, 61-75 (22% each). These figures confirm both teams tend to play high-scoring games, especially in the second half. The over 2.5 totals and frequency of overs suggest betting on over 2.0 at 1.77 is a viable option, supported by regular overs and an average scoring rate above 2.5 goals per team.

Corners: Numbers and Betting Options

Bologna averaged 7.2 corners over their last five matches, Lazio 2.2. For over 9.5 corners, Bologna hit over twice out of five, Lazio none. The total closest to the average sum (9.4) is the 9.5 line: over 9.5 corners at 2.03, under 9.5 at 1.70. Bologna is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.49. Considering Bologna's high corner activity and Lazio's low numbers, it's logical to expect Bologna to dominate this aspect. A bet on over 9.5 corners is justified, and Bologna's win on corners is also worth considering.