Prediction for match Bologna — Lecce

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on April 12, Bologna will face Lecce. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Bologna win at 1.91, a draw at 3.48, and Lecce win at 4.86. In terms of probabilities, Bologna has a 51.50% chance, a draw is at 28.26%, and Lecce is at 20.24%. Analysts see Bologna as the favorite, but the gap in chances is not critical, adding intrigue to the upcoming match. It's worth noting that the odds on total goals and both teams to score are also in interesting ranges, indicating a possibly high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bologna recorded these results: lost 1-3 to Aston Villa on April 9, beat Cremonese 2-1 on April 5, lost 0-2 to Lazio on March 22, won a thrilling 4-3 against Roma on March 19, and defeated Sassuolo 1-0 on March 15. Lecce, over the same period, lost 0-3 to Atalanta on April 6, lost 0-1 to Roma on March 22, lost 1-2 to Napoli on March 14, beat Cremonese 2-1 on March 8, and lost 1-3 to Como on February 28. In their last head-to-head on September 28, 2025, the teams drew 2-2. Over the last five games, Bologna has averaged 52% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 16.8 fouls, and 3.2 offsides per match. Lecce has averaged 35.4% possession, 1 yellow card, 13 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These figures show that Bologna plays more aggressively and controls the ball more often, while Lecce focuses more on defense and commits fewer fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Bologna vs Lecce

In their last five matches, Bologna's average total goals per game is 3.4, with the team scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 per game. Lecce's average total goals is 2.8, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2. Bologna has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, and Lecce in 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams out of 5 matches, and in the second half, Bologna had 3 out of 5, Lecce 2 out of 5. Goal intervals show Bologna most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Lecce scores most often between 31-45 minutes (38%). Bologna concedes evenly across all intervals, 18% in each of the five intervals, whereas Lecce concedes often early (0-15 minutes - 33%) and just after halftime (46-60 minutes - 33%). These data suggest Bologna consistently scores and concedes, while Lecce struggles in attack but often participates in high-scoring matches. Considering the average scoring, over 2.5 goals occurrences, and half-time support, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.25 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last five games, Bologna averages 3.6 corners, Lecce 3.2. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners is the same for both teams: 2 out of 5 matches. The total closest to the average sum (6.8) is the 7.5 line, with both options available: over 7.5 at 1.32, under 7.5 at 3.07. Bologna is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.26. Statistically, neither team is very active in corners, so betting on over 7.5 total corners looks most balanced. Also, consider betting on Bologna to win in corners, given their advantage in average deliveries.