Prediction for match Bologna — Napoli, 09.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

On November 9th in Serie A, Bologna will face Napoli in a match that draws attention due to the balanced odds for the main outcomes. Napoli's win is priced at 2.55, while both Bologna and a draw have odds of 3.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Napoli 37.04%, Bologna 31.48%, and a draw also 31.48%. This close percentage indicates that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, and the outcome may depend on the details of the game. In the double chance market, the 1X option is priced at 1.50, which just meets the lower threshold for the main prediction. Meanwhile, riskier outcomes like a Bologna win or a draw do not have a significant probability advantage. Considering all the odds, the optimal choice for prediction is 1X at 1.50.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bologna has shown good ball possession at 58.6%, and a high average of 7 corners per game. The team averages 3.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Napoli falls short in these areas: 50.6% possession, 4.6 corners, 1.8 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Bologna's last three matches: November 6 - Bologna vs Brann 0-0, November 2 - Parma vs Bologna 1-3, October 29 - Bologna vs Torino 0-0. Napoli's last three games: November 4 - Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0, November 1 - Napoli vs Como 0-0, October 28 - Lecce vs Napoli 0-1. In their head-to-head on April 7, Bologna and Napoli played to a 1-1 draw, with the total not exceeding 2.5 goals.

Total Goals Statistics

In their last five games, Bologna played over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Napoli did so in only 2 out of 5. Bologna had two matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, whereas Napoli had only one. In the second half, Bologna had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, and Napoli had 3 out of 5. The average goals in Bologna's matches over this period is 2.2, and for Napoli, it is 2.6. Bologna scores most frequently in the intervals 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Napoli scores in the intervals 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (30% each). Bologna concedes mainly in the first 30 minutes, while Napoli concedes evenly from the 16th to the 90th minute. Considering these data, a bet on 1X seems logical: Bologna plays confidently in defense, and Napoli does not show high scoring on the road in this period.

Corners in the Match

In terms of corners, Bologna significantly outperforms their opponent: averaging 7 per game compared to Napoli's 4.6. In the last five matches, Bologna surpassed the total of over 9.5 corners three times, while Napoli did so only once. Among the available bets on the total corners, the standout is: total corners over 9.5 at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.67. In the line for corners outcome, Bologna is the favorite with odds of 1.91. Given the average figures and frequency of outcomes, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified. Bologna regularly wins many corners, and Napoli often falls short in this aspect.