Prediction for match Borussia Dortmund — Atalanta

Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta

In the Champions League on 17.02.2026, Borussia Dortmund faces Atalanta. According to the 1X2 odds, Borussia Dortmund is the favorite: their victory is valued at 2.06 with a probability of 47.78%. A draw is priced at 3.78 (26.04%), while an Atalanta win is at 3.76 (26.18%). Odds on total goals and both teams to score indicate a high likelihood of a goal-filled match, with both teams expected to find the net. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.56, no at 2.30. Total goals options: over 2.5 is at 1.73, over 2.75 at 1.81, and over 3.0 at 2.04. Individual team totals: Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 is at 1.81, Atalanta over 1.5 at 2.50. Second half total over 1.5 is at 1.92. Thus, bookmakers anticipate at least 2-3 goals and active offense from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Borussia Dortmund averages 54.8% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and records 0.4 offsides per game. Atalanta holds 46.8% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and records 2 offsides per match. Recent matches for Borussia Dortmund: 13.02.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05 - 4-0, 07.02.2026 - Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund - 1-2, 01.02.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim - 3-2. For Atalanta: 14.02.2026 - Lazio vs Atalanta - 0-2, 09.02.2026 - Atalanta vs Cremonese - 2-1, 05.02.2026 - Atalanta vs Juventus - 3-0. In their previous encounter on 22.02.2018, Atalanta and Borussia Dortmund drew 1-1. Over the last five matches, Borussia Dortmund has 3 wins, while Atalanta has 3 wins and 1 draw. Both teams commit a similar number of fouls, but Borussia Dortmund controls possession more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Borussia Dortmund has an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1 goal per game. Atalanta averages 1.8 total goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding just 0.4. In the last five matches, Borussia Dortmund's games went over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5, Atalanta's in 2 out of 5. For second half goals, Borussia Dortmund went over 1.5 in 4 out of 5, in the first half 2 out of 5. Atalanta went over 1.5 in the second half only once in 5, and once in the first half. Goal intervals: Borussia Dortmund most frequently scores between 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), while Atalanta scores in the 76-90 minute interval (43%). Conceding intervals: Borussia Dortmund often concedes between 76-90 minutes (44%), Atalanta between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Considering Borussia Dortmund's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals, and the 1.73 odds on this outcome, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified. Atalanta is solid defensively, but Borussia Dortmund consistently scores at least two goals per match, and both teams are capable of creating chances. Borussia Dortmund's frequent second-half activity also supports a high-scoring game. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.56, confirming expectations for goals from both sides.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Borussia Dortmund averages 6.8 corners per match, Atalanta 5. In their last five games, Borussia Dortmund's matches went over 9.5 corners twice, Atalanta's once. Odds for total corners: over 11.5 is at 2.22, under 11.5 at 1.60. For corner outcomes, Borussia Dortmund is the favorite with odds of 2.05. Considering the average corner stats and the infrequent occurrence of over 9.5 corners, a bet on under 11.5 corners seems logical. Borussia Dortmund regularly delivers more than 6 corners, while Atalanta around 5, confirming moderate activity in this component. Also, consider individual corner stats for both teams when exploring additional betting options.