Prediction for match Borussia Dortmund — Augsburg

Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg

In the Bundesliga on 14.03.2026, Borussia Dortmund faces Augsburg. The odds for the 1X2 outcome are: Borussia Dortmund win at 1.46, draw at 5.13, and Augsburg win at 7.31. In terms of percentage probability, Borussia Dortmund has a 67.37% chance of winning, a draw is at 19.17%, and Augsburg winning is at 13.46%. This indicates a significant advantage for Borussia Dortmund, but the odds for their win are below the acceptable threshold for the main prediction, so it's worth considering the total markets. Among them, the most interesting is over 2.5 goals at 1.49, with the next higher being over 2.75 goals at 1.61, which is suitable for the main prediction.

Team Statistics and Scores

In the last three matches, Borussia Dortmund played as follows: 07.03.2026 Köln vs Borussia Dortmund 1-2, 28.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern 2-3, 25.02.2026 Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund 4-1. Augsburg's recent results in their last three games were: 07.03.2026 RB Leipzig vs Augsburg 2-1, 27.02.2026 Augsburg vs Köln 2-0, 21.02.2026 Wolfsburg vs Augsburg 2-3. In their last head-to-head on 31.10.2025, Augsburg lost to Borussia Dortmund 0-1. In terms of additional metrics over a five-match span, Borussia Dortmund has an average possession of 47.6%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 13, offsides - 2.2. Augsburg has possession at 49.2%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 11.2, offsides - 1.8. These stats show that both teams play actively in defense and are evenly matched in discipline and ball control.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg

Over a five-match series, Borussia Dortmund has an average total of 3.8 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2 goals per game. Augsburg's average total is 2.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Borussia Dortmund has 4 out of 5 matches going over, while Augsburg has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Borussia Dortmund went over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and Augsburg in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Borussia Dortmund went over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, and Augsburg in 3 out of 5. Borussia Dortmund most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), while Augsburg scores most in the 76-90 minute interval (56%). Borussia Dortmund concedes most between 46-60 minutes (38%), and Augsburg between 76-90 minutes (40%). These figures indicate high scoring potential for Borussia Dortmund and suggest that both teams are likely to score in the second half. Considering the average scoring rate and frequent over 2.5 goals for Borussia Dortmund, as well as both teams' not-so-reliable defense, a logical choice is to bet on over 2.75 goals at odds of 1.61.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For the average number of corners over 5 matches, Borussia Dortmund has 3, and Augsburg has 6.2. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Borussia Dortmund and 4 times for Augsburg. The total closest to the average sum of corners is 9.5. For this, both options are available: over 9.5 corners at 1.64, under 9.5 at 2.12. For the corner outcome, Borussia Dortmund is the favorite with odds of 1.29. Given that Augsburg consistently delivers many corners and Borussia Dortmund generally lags in this measure, it's logical to consider betting on over 9.5 corners or Augsburg's individual total corners over 5.0, if available. Also, note that Augsburg has had high corner totals in recent matches, which could repeat in this game.