Prediction for match Borussia Dortmund — Mainz 05

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On Friday, February 13th, in the German Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund will face Mainz 05. The odds highlight Borussia as the favorite: a win for the team is at 1.59, a draw at 4.78, and a victory for Mainz is rated at 5.69. Looking at the probabilities, Borussia has a 62.03% chance of winning, a draw stands at 20.63%, and Mainz has a 17.33% chance. Besides the outcomes, bookmakers offer odds on totals: over 2.5 goals is at 1.48, both teams to score - "yes" is at 1.59 and "no" at 2.24. For individual totals, Borussia over 1.5 goals is at 1.49, while Mainz is at 3.18 for the same metric. Options for first and second-half totals are also available, indicating attention to both teams' scoring capabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Borussia Dortmund recorded the following results: on February 7th, they defeated Wolfsburg 2-1, on February 1st, they overcame Heidenheim 3-2, and on January 28th, they lost to Inter 0-2. Mainz 05, in their last three encounters, won against Augsburg 2-0 (February 7th), beat RB Leipzig 2-1 (January 31st), and were victorious over Wolfsburg 3-1 (January 24th). In their head-to-head on September 27, 2025, Mainz 05 lost to Borussia Dortmund 0-2. Additional statistics show that in a five-match series, Borussia has an average possession percentage of 53, while Mainz has 41.6. Borussia averages 1.2 yellow cards per game, commits 12.2 fouls, and records 0.4 offsides. Mainz 05, in the same period, averages 2.8 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring performance of both teams in the last five matches remains high: Borussia's average total goals per match is 3, and Mainz's is also 3. Borussia scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.4, while Mainz scores 2 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals: Borussia has 3 out of 5 games over, and Mainz has 4 out of 5. By halves, Borussia has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second. Mainz has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Most frequently, Borussia scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), while Mainz scores mainly in the final 76th-90th minutes (27%). In terms of goals conceded: Borussia concedes most often in the final minutes (76th-90th, 44%), while Mainz concedes between the 46th-60th minutes (40%). All this confirms that both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, and the over 2.5 goals is supported by both average scoring and frequency by halves. The optimal bet for this match seems to be over 2.5 goals at 1.48, but considering odds requirements, the main prediction is both teams to score: yes at 1.59, which is also supported by both sides' consistent scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For corners, Borussia Dortmund averages 5.8 per game, while Mainz 05 averages 6.6. In a five-match series, Borussia had 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 total corners, and Mainz had 3 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (12.4) is 11.5. The odds for over 11.5 corners are 2.65, under 11.5 is 1.31. The option for over 9.5 is at 1.75, under 9.5 is at 1.96. For the corners outcome, Borussia is the favorite with odds of 1.39. Overall, both teams tend to be highly active around the opponent's goal, which could lead to a large number of corners. It makes sense to consider over 9.5 or 11.5 corners, as well as Borussia's win on corners.