Prediction for match Borussia Dortmund — Freiburg

Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg

On April 26, Borussia Dortmund will face Freiburg in the Bundesliga. In this encounter, the bookmakers have Borussia as the favorite: their victory is given odds of 1.40, with a 70.20% chance of success. A draw is offered at 5.43 (18.10%), while a Freiburg win is rated at 8.40 (11.70%). Among additional markets, the over 2.5 goals total stands out at 1.49, and "both teams to score: yes" is at 1.76. A wide range of total and individual team totals are available, allowing for bets to suit any style of play.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Borussia Dortmund played as follows: April 18, 2026 - Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund - 2-1, April 11, 2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer - 0-1, April 4, 2026 - Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund - 0-2. Freiburg's last three results were: April 23, 2026 - Stuttgart vs Freiburg - 2-1, April 19, 2026 - Freiburg vs Heidenheim - 2-1, April 16, 2026 - Celta vs Freiburg - 1-3. In their head-to-head on December 14, 2025, Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund drew 1-1. On average over five matches, Borussia Dortmund has 53.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Freiburg has 45% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These numbers indicate that both teams are equally competitive in terms of physicality and defensive attention, but Borussia tends to control the ball more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Borussia Dortmund exceeded the over 2.5 goals total twice and played under three times. Freiburg had four out of five matches end over 2.5. Borussia averages 2.6 goals per match, while Freiburg averages 2.8. Borussia scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 1, while Freiburg is more prolific with 2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded. By halves, Borussia went over 1.5 goals in the first half once out of five and three times in the second half. Freiburg exceeded 1.5 goals twice in the first half and twice in the second. The most common goal interval for both teams is the 76-90 minute mark: 38% of Borussia's goals and 43% of Freiburg's goals occur during this period. Borussia also concedes most frequently late in the game (50% of goals against from 76 to 90 minutes), while Freiburg concedes most in the 46-60 minute range (50%). This trend suggests a high likelihood of late goals, and the overall profile of both teams regarding totals and averages supports a bet on over 2.5 goals.

Corners in the Match

On average, Borussia Dortmund earns 6.4 corners per game, while Freiburg gets 3.6. In the last five matches, both teams had two instances of over 9.5 corners. Looking at the odds, the total of 9.5 corners has two outcomes: over 9.5 is at 1.84, under 9.5 is at 1.90. Borussia is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.18. In this match, it's logical to expect flank activity and a high frequency of set-pieces, especially from Borussia, which regularly earns more than six corners per game. Freiburg earns corners less frequently, but both teams can maintain the tempo, increasing the likelihood of over 9.5 corners.