Prediction for match Borussia Dortmund — Villarreal, 25.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages

The UEFA Champions League match between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal will take place on November 25, 2025. The odds are as follows: Borussia Dortmund to win at 1.84, a draw at 4.04, and Villarreal to win at 4.46. In percentage terms, the chances are distributed as follows: Borussia Dortmund - 53.53%, draw - 24.38%, Villarreal - 22.09%. The German team is considered the favorite, but Villarreal also has a chance for a positive result. Both teams have been showing high scoring abilities this season and are not prone to long goalless stretches. Heading into the match, both teams are in good form, which is reflected in their odds and percentage chances.

Team Stats and Scores

In their last five matches, Borussia Dortmund has an average possession of 51%, while Villarreal has 54.2%. For corners, Borussia Dortmund earns 4.2 per game, Villarreal earns 3. Both teams receive an average of 1.4 yellow cards, and in terms of fouls, Borussia Dortmund commits 13.2, while Villarreal commits 11. For offsides, Borussia has 1.4, and Villarreal has 2.8. Borussia's last three matches: November 22 - 3-3 against Stuttgart, November 8 - 1-1 against Hamburg, November 5 - 1-4 against Manchester City. Villarreal's recent results: November 22 - 2-1 against Mallorca, November 8 - 2-0 against Espanyol, November 5 - 0-1 against Pafos. The head-to-head match on August 6, 2024, ended 2-2, with the total over 2.5 goals. In an earlier encounter on July 22, 2022, Villarreal won 2-0. These results highlight the attacking potential of both sides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have an average total of 3.2 goals per game. Borussia Dortmund averages 1.4 goals scored, while Villarreal averages 2.8. Borussia concedes 1.8, while Villarreal has a solid defense with just 0.4 goals conceded per match. For totals over 2.5: Borussia has 2 out of 5 over, Villarreal has 3 out of 5 over. In the first half, both teams have 2 out of 5 over 1.5, in the second half Borussia has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Villarreal has 2 out of 5 over. Borussia Dortmund most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while Villarreal scores most between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%). Defensively, Borussia is vulnerable between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%), and Villarreal has 22% vulnerability in three different intervals: 0-15, 46-60, 76-90. Considering the high scoring trends of both teams, betting on "Both Teams to Score: Yes" at 1.71 seems justified, as Borussia consistently concedes and Villarreal scores a lot.

Corner Totals Analysis

For average corners, Borussia Dortmund earns 4.2 per match, Villarreal earns 3. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 has not been achieved by either team (0 out of 5 for both). The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 2.10, under 9.5 is at 1.66. Borussia Dortmund is the favorite in corners with odds of 2.00. Based on the statistics, it makes more sense to consider the option of total corners under 9.5, as both teams rarely reach a high number of set-pieces. A surge in this statistic is not expected in this match.