Prediction for match Borussia M — St. Pauli

Match Analysis: Borussia M vs St. Pauli

On December 2, Borussia M will face St. Pauli in the DFB Pokal. The odds for a Borussia M victory are 1.87, a draw is priced at 3.78, and a St. Pauli win is offered at 4.24. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 51.66% for a Borussia M win, 25.56% for a draw, and 22.78% for St. Pauli. Borussia M is highlighted as the favorite, which is also supported by the recent match statistics between these teams. St. Pauli enters the match as the underdog, but surprises are always possible in cup games.

Team Results and Statistics

Borussia M averages 44.4% possession over the last five games, records 0.6 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and has 2.2 offsides. St. Pauli holds the ball 43% of the time, receives 2.6 yellows, commits 11.2 fouls, and also has 2.2 offsides. In their last three games, Borussia M played as follows: 28.11 - Borussia M vs RB Leipzig - 0-0, 22.11 - Heidenheim vs Borussia M - 0-3, 08.11 - Borussia M vs Cologne - 3-1. St. Pauli played three games: 29.11 - Bayern vs St. Pauli - 3-1, 23.11 - St. Pauli vs Union Berlin - 0-1, 09.11 - Freiburg vs St. Pauli - 2-1. The last head-to-head match was on 01.11 - St. Pauli vs Borussia M - 0-4.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Borussia M shows an average total of 3 goals per game, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.4. St. Pauli averages 2.8 goals per match, scoring only 0.6 and conceding 2.2. For over 2.5 goals, Borussia M has 4 out of 5, St. Pauli has 3 out of 5. More than 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 2 times for both teams, in the second half Borussia M - 4 out of 5, St. Pauli - 3 out of 5. Borussia M most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (29% each), while St. Pauli scores between 31-45 and 76-90 (33% each). Borussia M concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90, 33%), St. Pauli evenly across three segments (25% each). These figures indicate a clear attacking advantage for Borussia M and a weak defense for St. Pauli. Combined with frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes and Borussia M's high scoring, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.70 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Borussia M averages 4.6 corners per game, St. Pauli - 5.8, totaling 10.4. For over 9.5 corners, Borussia M has 2 out of 5, St. Pauli has 4 out of 5. Among the odds for total corners, there's a pair for 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.89, under 9.5 - 1.85. In the corner outcome line, Borussia M is the favorite with odds of 1.90. Given that both teams have recently been delivering many corners, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 corners. St. Pauli often exceeds this mark, and Borussia M also maintains a high pace in this regard.