Prediction for match Borussia M — Union Berlin

Match Analysis: Borussia M vs Union Berlin

In the Bundesliga, Borussia M will face Union Berlin on 28.02.2026. The odds for Borussia M to win are 2.49, for Union Berlin - 3.15, and a draw is at 3.38. The probability distribution is as follows: 39.57% for Borussia M's victory, 31.28% for Union Berlin, and 29.15% for a draw. This indicates that Borussia M has a slight edge in terms of probability, but Union Berlin is also considered a serious contender. Total goals options: Over 2.5 is at 2.10, Under 2.5 is 1.86, both teams to score - yes at 1.76, no at 1.97. Individual total goals: Borussia M Over 1 is 1.57, Union Berlin Over 1 is 1.77. These odds suggest a moderately high-scoring match with no clear favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Borussia M has an average possession of 46.8%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Union Berlin, during the same period, shows 40.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three games, Borussia M lost to Freiburg 1-2 (22.02.2026), was defeated by Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 (14.02.2026), and drew with Bayer 1-1 (07.02.2026). Union Berlin defeated Bayer 1-0 (21.02.2026), lost to Hamburg 2-3 (14.02.2026), and drew with Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 (06.02.2026). The last head-to-head match was on 17.10.2025, with Union Berlin winning 3-1 against Borussia M. These stats highlight that both teams are capable of winning and losing, with Union Berlin collecting points more frequently in recent matches.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Borussia M has an average of 2.6 goals per match, while Union Berlin averages 3. Borussia M scores an average of 0.6 goals per game and concedes 2, whereas Union Berlin scores 1 and concedes 2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 3 times out of 5 for Borussia M and 2 out of 5 for Union Berlin. In the second half, Union Berlin has 4 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, and Borussia M has 3 out of 5. In terms of scoring intervals, Borussia M most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 minute marks (25% each) and concedes most often in the 61-75 minute range (50%). Union Berlin scores most frequently in the 31-45 minute range (50%) and concedes in the 76-90 minute range (43%). Given the teams' average scoring rates, frequent over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.10 seems a logical choice for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, over 5 matches, Borussia M earns 3.4 corners, and Union Berlin 5.8, totaling 9.2. In a series of five games, over 9.5 corners occurred 2 times for Borussia M and 1 time for Union Berlin. The closest line to the average total is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.88, under 9.5 at 1.86. Union Berlin is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.90. Considering Union Berlin consistently delivers over 5 corners per match, and Borussia M trails in this aspect, it makes sense to consider a bet on Union Berlin's individual corners over 4.5 or the overall total over 9.5. It's also worth noting that Union Berlin often wins in corners, as reflected in the odds for their victory in this aspect.