Prediction for match Bosnia & Herzegovina — Italy

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the European World Cup qualifiers, Bosnia & Herzegovina face Italy on 31.03.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Italy is the favorite with odds of 1.64 and a 60.00% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.90, equating to a 25.23% probability. Bosnia & Herzegovina's victory is rated at 6.66 with a 14.77% chance. This reflects the difference in class and current form of the teams, as well as recent head-to-head results, where Italy has had the upper hand.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bosnia & Herzegovina has averaged 40.8% possession, 3.4 corners, 3.4 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Italy, over the same period, shows 63% possession, 8.6 corners, 1.8 warnings, 11 fouls, and 1 offside on average. Recent matches for Bosnia & Herzegovina: 26.03.2026 - Wales vs Bosnia & Herzegovina - 3-5, 18.11.2025 - Austria vs Bosnia & Herzegovina - 1-1, 15.11.2025 - Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania - 3-1. For Italy: 26.03.2026 - Italy vs Northern Ireland - 2-0, 16.11.2025 - Italy vs Norway - 1-4, 13.11.2025 - Moldova vs Italy - 0-2. Their last encounter was on 09.06.2024, with Italy winning 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in three games. Bosnia & Herzegovina had 3 out of 5 matches over 2.5, and Italy also had 3 out of 5. The average goals per match for Bosnia & Herzegovina is 3, and for Italy, it's 3.2. Scoring averages: Bosnia & Herzegovina - 1.6, Italy - 2.2, conceded - 1.4 and 1 respectively. By halves: both teams have only once exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half, but in the second half, Bosnia & Herzegovina had 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals, and Italy had all 5 out of 5. Goal intervals: Bosnia & Herzegovina most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), Italy also at the end (43%). Conceded goals: Bosnia & Herzegovina often concedes in the first 15 minutes (29%), Italy in the last 15 minutes (50%). Considering Italy's attacking potential, the regularity of both teams going over 2.5 goals, and high second-half scoring, the bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.25 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last five matches, Bosnia & Herzegovina has averaged 3.4 corners, and Italy 8.6, totaling 12. In a series of five games, Bosnia & Herzegovina only had over 9.5 corners once, and Italy twice. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.50, under 11.5 at 1.22. Italy is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.47. Considering Italy's high activity in delivering crosses from the wings, it makes sense to consider Italy's individual corner total over 8.5 or the overall total over 10.5 if the odds are favorable. It's also worth noting that Bosnia & Herzegovina rarely takes many corners, which could affect the overall total.