Prediction for match Botafogo — Chapecoense

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Chapecoense

On April 21, 2026, Botafogo will face Chapecoense in the Copa do Brasil. According to the 1X2 odds, Botafogo is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.47, a draw at 4.25, and a Chapecoense win at 6.34. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Botafogo - 63.38%, Draw - 21.92%, Chapecoense - 14.70%. This reflects the difference in the current form and recent results of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Botafogo has an average possession of 52.4%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and records 0.4 offsides per game. Chapecoense, during the same period, has 48.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In Botafogo's last three matches: April 18, 2026 - Chapecoense vs Botafogo - 1-4, April 15, 2026 - Racing vs Botafogo - 2-3, April 12, 2026 - Botafogo vs Coritiba - 2-2. For Chapecoense: April 18, 2026 - Chapecoense vs Botafogo - 1-4, April 12, 2026 - Atlético Paranaense vs Chapecoense - 2-0, April 5, 2026 - Chapecoense vs Vitória - 1-1. The last head-to-head match was on April 18, 2026, ending in a 4-1 victory for Botafogo.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Botafogo scores an average of 2.4 goals in their last five games, concedes 1.4, with an overall match goal average of 3.8. Chapecoense has averages of 0.4 scored, 2.6 conceded, and 3 goals per game. Botafogo has exceeded the 2.5 total goals line in 4 out of 5 games, while Chapecoense has done so in 2 out of 5. In the first half, both teams have seen more than 1.5 goals 2 times out of 5, while in the second half, Botafogo has done so 3 times out of 5, and Chapecoense 2 times out of 5. Botafogo scores most frequently between the 46-60 and 61-75 minute intervals (29% each), while Chapecoense scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Botafogo concedes most often late in the game (76-90 minutes, 33%), while Chapecoense concedes between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Considering Botafogo's high scoring rate and Chapecoense's weak attack, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems justified: Chapecoense has a very low average scoring rate of just 0.4 goals per match, with the under 2.5 goals line passing 3 times out of 5.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Botafogo averages 4.4 corners per game, while Chapecoense averages 4. For the over 9.5 corners total, Botafogo has cleared it 2 times out of 5, and Chapecoense 1 time out of 5. The closest line to the combined average of both teams (8.4) is 8.5, with both outcomes available: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.50, under 8.5 at 2.37. There is no clear favorite for corners, as both teams deliver a similar number. It makes sense to consider betting on the total corners around 8.5, considering the average corners delivered and the infrequent high totals for both teams.