Prediction for match Botafogo — Coritiba

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Coritiba

On April 12, 2026, Botafogo and Coritiba face off in Brazil's Serie A. According to 1X2 odds, bookmakers favor Botafogo: their victory is priced at 1.78, corresponding to a 53.93% probability. A draw is offered at 3.66 (26.23%), while a Coritiba win is priced at 4.84 (19.84%). Besides the main outcome, the betting lines offer options on goal totals, individual totals, and both teams to score. For the over/under 2.5 goals market: over is priced at 2.12, under at 1.75. For both teams to score: yes is at 1.94, no at 1.77. For Botafogo's individual total: over 1.5 is at 1.97, under 1.5 is at 1.80. For Coritiba's individual total, over 0.5 is at 1.59, under 0.5 is at 2.18.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Botafogo played as follows: April 9, 2026 - Botafogo vs Caracas - 1-1, April 5, 2026 - Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo - 1-2, April 1, 2026 - Botafogo vs Mirassol - 3-2. Coritiba's last three results were: April 4, 2026 - Coritiba vs Fluminense - 1-1, April 1, 2026 - Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama - 1-1, March 22, 2026 - Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba - 2-0. Over the last five matches, Botafogo's averages are 47.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Coritiba averages 43.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 30, 2023, Coritiba and Botafogo drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Botafogo shows a clear over-profile in terms of scoring: in their last five matches, the average number of goals per game is 3.6, with them scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8. In 4 of their last 5 matches, the total over 2.5 was achieved, and in the first half, over 1.5 was seen 3 times out of 5. In the second half, 3 out of 5 also went over 1.5. Coritiba, on the other hand, follows a low-scoring path: the average number of goals in their matches is 1.6, scoring and conceding 0.8 each, with the total over 2.5 not hitting once in 5 games (0 out of 5). In the first half, Coritiba never hit over 1.5, and in the second half, only 1 out of 5 did. Botafogo most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (30%), while Coritiba scores between the 16th and 30th minute (40%). For goals conceded, Botafogo has three equal intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each), while Coritiba's are 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Summing up this data, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems logical: Botafogo regularly plays high-scoring games, but Coritiba rarely participates in matches with many goals, and their defense has been reliable over the last five matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Botafogo earns 5 corners per game, while Coritiba earns 3.2. In a five-match series, Botafogo's total corners over 9.5 hit 2 times, and Coritiba's hit 3 times. The closest total to the average number of corners is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.78, and under 9.5 is 1.97. The line also offers a market for corners: Botafogo to win is priced at 1.41. Considering both teams' corner statistics, looking at over 9.5 corners is logical, although the frequency of this total hitting does not exceed half of the matches, indicating potential caution in choosing a corners bet.