Prediction for match Botafogo — Gremio, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Gremio

In Brazil's Serie A on November 22, Botafogo will face Gremio. According to the odds, Botafogo is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.63, a draw at 3.95, and a Gremio victory at 5.76. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Botafogo - 58.97%, draw - 24.34%, Gremio - 16.69%. These figures highlight Botafogo's advantage according to bookmakers' expectations and statistics. The main prediction is based on a comprehensive assessment of recent matches and both teams' secondary metrics.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last 5 matches, Botafogo has an average possession of 52%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 15.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. Gremio has 44.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In Botafogo's last three matches: on 19.11 Botafogo beat Sport Recife 3-2, on 09.11 they drew 0-0 with Vitoria, and on 05.11 they defeated Vasco da Gama 3-0. For Gremio: on 10.11 they drew 2-2 with Fortaleza, on 06.11 they lost 0-1 to Cruzeiro, and on 02.11 they were defeated 2-0 by Corinthians. Their last head-to-head was on 25.09: Gremio - Botafogo ended 1-1, with under 2.5 goals. These data reflect the balance and current form, as well as the disciplinary and tactical characteristics of both teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Botafogo has an average total of 2.4 goals, while Gremio has 2.6. Botafogo scores 1.6 and concedes 0.8, whereas Gremio scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8. In 5 matches, Botafogo played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice, while Gremio played over twice and under three times. Neither team has a clear trend by halves: Botafogo has over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 halves, while Gremio has 2 out of 5 in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second. The most frequent goal intervals for Botafogo are 31-45 (25%) and 76-90 (25%), and for Gremio, it's 0-15 (30%). Considering Botafogo's average scoring, Gremio's frequent concessions, and the over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 matches between these teams, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for this option are 1.94.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Botafogo averages 6 corners per game, and Gremio averages 5.6. In their last five matches, both teams played over 9.5 corners four times. Among the total corner odds, over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.49, and under 8.5 at 2.44. For the outcome on corners, Botafogo is the favorite with odds of 1.35. Considering the average values and the frequency of higher totals, betting on over 8.5 corners seems a logical choice, given both teams' attacking style in recent matches.