Tips for match Botafogo — Sport Recife, 19.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A on November 18, Botafogo will face Sport Recife. According to the odds, Botafogo's victory is priced at 1.27, a draw at 5.75, and a win for Sport Recife at 10.00. Looking at the probability percentages, Botafogo is estimated at 74.19%, a draw at 16.39%, and Sport Recife's chance at 9.42%. There's a clear tilt towards Botafogo, but the main prediction for this match is both teams to score: no, with odds of 1.70.

Team Statistics and Scores

In the last five matches, Botafogo has averaged 49.6% possession, 3 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 2 offsides. For the same period, Sport Recife's averages are 35.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. Looking at Botafogo's last three matches: on November 9, Vitória vs. Botafogo ended 0-0, on November 5, Botafogo vs. Vasco da Gama ended 3-0, and on November 1, Mirassol vs. Botafogo ended 0-0. For Sport Recife: on November 15, Sport Recife vs. Flamengo ended 1-5, on November 8, Sport Recife vs. Atlético Mineiro ended 2-4, and on November 5, Sport Recife vs. Juventude ended 0-2. In the last head-to-head on July 20, Sport Recife vs. Botafogo ended 0-1, with under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In 5 matches, Botafogo had over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. For Sport Recife, it's the opposite: over 2.5 goals four times, under once. In first halves, Botafogo had only 1 match over 1.5 goals out of 5, and the same for second halves. Sport Recife had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and three times in the second half. Botafogo's average goals per match are 1.8, while Sport Recife's are 4. Botafogo scores 1.4 and concedes 0.4, while Sport Recife scores 0.8 and concedes 3.2. In terms of intervals, Botafogo most often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (40%), and Sport Recife between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each). Botafogo concedes evenly across four intervals, while Sport Recife concedes most between the 61st and 75th minute (38%). Given Sport Recife's low scoring average and Botafogo's strong defense (0.4 conceded), betting on both teams not to score seems most logical. Supporting this is Botafogo's 2 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife's goal scoring mostly coming from goals conceded.

Analysis of Total Corners

For corners, Botafogo averages 5.6 over five matches, while Sport Recife averages 5.4. The total corners over 9.5 have hit in 4 out of 5 for Botafogo, and 2 times for Sport Recife. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is 1.73, under 9.5 is 2.00. A victory in corners is not prominent, but with such delivery numbers, considering over 9.5 is more logical. Supporting this is the high average for corners for both teams and Botafogo's frequency of hitting the over.