Prediction for match Botafogo SP — Avai, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Botafogo SP vs Avai

The Serie B clash between Botafogo SP and Avai is set for November 23. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a victory for Botafogo SP is at 1.58, a draw is at 3.70, and a win for Avai is at 5.87. Botafogo SP is considered the favorite, with a 58.96% chance of winning. The probability of a draw is 25.18%, while Avai's chances of success are 15.87%. These figures reflect the balance of power between the teams and set the expectation for the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Botafogo SP has an average ball possession of 46.2%, with the team recording 2.2 yellow cards, committing 13.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per match. Avai's possession is slightly higher at 48.4%, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Botafogo SP's last three games: November 16, Criciuma - Botafogo SP 2-0, November 10, Botafogo SP - Amazonas 1-0, November 3, Volta Redonda - Botafogo SP 0-1. Avai's last three matches: November 15, Avai - Remo 3-1, November 8, Vila Nova - Avai 2-2, November 1, Avai - Athletic 2-1. Their head-to-head on July 28, 2025, ended with Avai winning 5-0, with the total over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Botafogo SP has only 1 game over 2.5 goals and 4 under, while Avai has the opposite, with 4 out of 5 matches ending with three or more goals. In the first half, both teams only exceeded the 1.5 total once, while in the second half, Botafogo SP has only 1 occurrence, whereas Avai has 4 out of 5. The average number of goals per match for Botafogo SP is 2, while for Avai, it is 3.2. Botafogo SP mostly scores after the 60th minute, with 33% of goals coming between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes, while Avai often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (33%). Botafogo SP concedes goals evenly across various intervals, while Avai often concedes late, with 38% between the 76th-90th minute. Considering Botafogo SP's average goal rate is 1 and Avai's is 2, but Botafogo SP's low scoring and only one game over 2.5 goals, a bet on both teams not to score seems justified. Supporting this are the time metrics: Botafogo SP has only one occurrence over 1.5 in each half, while Avai scores more in the second half, but there is no consistent mutual scoring.

Corners Statistics

In the last five matches, Botafogo SP averages 4 corners, while Avai averages 5. Botafogo SP only once exceeded the total over 9.5, whereas Avai did so three times. The total corners over 9.25 is at 1.52, while under 9.25 is at 2.31. Botafogo SP is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.33. Given both teams' average activity and the frequency of exceeding the total, a bet on total corners over 9.25 seems the most logical for this match.