Prediction for match Botafogo SP — Nautico Recife

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Brazil's Serie B, Botafogo SP will face Nautico Recife on 02.05.2026. The odds for a Botafogo SP victory are 2.64, for a Nautico Recife win - 2.71, and a draw is priced at 3.02. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Botafogo SP - 35.11%, Nautico Recife - 34.20%, draw - 30.69%. Based on these figures, the bookmakers' odds are almost equal, and the match promises to be a tough contest. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a Botafogo SP win, but the difference is minimal.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Botafogo SP has an average possession of 46%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and records 2.2 offsides per game. Nautico Recife has higher possession at 57%, with 3.4 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and also 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Botafogo SP played as follows: 23.04.2026 Cuiaba - Botafogo SP 1-1, 19.04.2026 Botafogo SP - Atletico Goianiense 1-1, 10.04.2026 Criciuma - Botafogo SP 1-0. Nautico Recife's last three results are: 27.04.2026 Athletic - Nautico Recife 0-1, 18.04.2026 Nautico Recife - Sao Bernardo 0-3, 11.04.2026 Ceara - Nautico Recife 1-0. The last head-to-head was on 13.12.2020: Botafogo SP - Nautico Recife 1-1.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Botafogo SP averages 2.2 goals per game, while Nautico Recife averages 1.8. Botafogo SP scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.2, while Nautico Recife scores 0.8 and concedes 1. Both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, with 3 ending under. In the first half, Botafogo SP had 2 of 5 games with two or more goals, while Nautico Recife had all 5 under 1.5. In the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with two or more goals. For goal intervals: Botafogo SP most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (60%), while Nautico Recife distributes their goals across four intervals, 25% each. Botafogo SP concedes most often between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Nautico Recife concedes mostly at the end (76-90 minutes, 83%). Overall, the total and average scoring tendencies lean towards a low-scoring game, but goals from both teams are not excluded. The most logical bet seems to be on under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.55.

Corner Totals Analysis

Botafogo SP averages 6.4 corners per match, while Nautico Recife averages 7. For the over 9.5 corners total: Botafogo SP had 4 out of 5 matches over, and Nautico Recife had 3 out of 5. The line offers a total of 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.52, under 9.5 at 2.32. Both teams consistently deliver a high number of corners, as confirmed by their averages and the frequency of exceeding the total. In this match, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given both teams' attacking style in this aspect.