Prediction for match Botafogo SP — São Bernardo

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie B on April 5th, Botafogo SP will face São Bernardo. Bookmakers favor Botafogo SP, offering odds of 2.22 for their victory, 2.79 for a draw, and 3.78 for São Bernardo. In terms of probabilities: Botafogo SP's success is estimated at 41.96%, a draw at 33.39%, and São Bernardo's victory at 24.65%. Among the goal total odds, the bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.61 stands out, reflecting a cautious approach to scoring in this matchup. Additionally, both teams to score: yes is at 1.89, no at 1.81, and the double chance Draw/Away is at 1.61.

Team Results and Statistics

Botafogo SP has shown solid form in their last five matches: a 2-1 win over América Mineiro (01.04.2026), a big 4-0 victory against Fortaleza (21.03.2026), a 0-1 loss to Capivariano (15.02.2026), a 2-0 win over Guarani Campinas (07.02.2026), and a narrow 1-0 win against Palmeiras (01.02.2026). In the same period, São Bernardo played as follows: a 1-2 loss to Operário (02.04.2026), a 1-1 draw with Ceará (21.03.2026), a 2-3 loss to Ceará (17.03.2026), a 0-1 loss to Corinthians (15.02.2026), and a 1-2 loss to Novorizontino (07.02.2026). In their head-to-head encounter on January 26, 2025, São Bernardo defeated Botafogo SP 1-0. Additional statistics: Botafogo SP averages 42.2% possession over five games, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. São Bernardo holds 44.4% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 9.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Botafogo SP averages 2.2 goals per game over a five-match span, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.4, while São Bernardo averages 1.8 goals per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have 2 out of 5 matches going over, indicating a tendency for low-scoring games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, and never in the second half over five games. This highlights a cautious style and rare bursts of activity after the break. In terms of goal intervals: Botafogo SP most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), while São Bernardo scores most often between the 0th and 15th minute (67%). Botafogo SP concedes most often between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (40% each), while São Bernardo spreads their conceded goals evenly across five intervals at 20%. Given São Bernardo's low scoring and Botafogo SP's restrained play, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.61 seems the most logical for this match.

Analysis of Total Corners

Both teams average the same number of corners - 3.2 per match over the last five games. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Botafogo SP hit this mark 2 times out of 5, São Bernardo 3 times out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of the average values (6.4) is 6.5, but only values of 9.5 and above are offered in the odds. Under these conditions, it makes sense to expect a moderate number of corners, without a clear bias towards a high total. Additional data shows that neither team tends to have sharp increases in corner activity, as confirmed by their average values and the frequency of high totals. In this match, a bet on a moderate total of corners seems justified, with no clear favorite in this metric.