Prediction for match Boulogne — Le Mans

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The match between Boulogne and Le Mans in the French Ligue 2 is set for April 11, 2026. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Boulogne is priced at 3.40, a draw is at 3.16, and a win for Le Mans is offered at 2.19. In terms of probability percentages reflecting the chances of each outcome: Boulogne - 27.56%, draw - 29.65%, Le Mans - 42.79%. Le Mans stands out as the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and the probability distribution. Bookmakers consider a win for Le Mans the most likely result, though a draw is also highly rated.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Boulogne played as follows: April 4, 2026, Reims - Boulogne 0-0, March 20, 2026, Boulogne - Nancy 0-0, March 13, 2026, Bastia - Boulogne 0-1. Le Mans achieved the following results in their last three games: April 6, 2026, Le Mans - Pau 4-0, March 20, 2026, Amiens - Le Mans 3-4, March 13, 2026, Nancy - Le Mans 2-4. In their recent head-to-head meeting on October 24, 2025, Le Mans defeated Boulogne 1-0. Additional metrics show Boulogne with an average ball possession of 48.4% over five matches, while Le Mans has 52.8%. Boulogne averages 1.6 yellow cards per game, Le Mans 2.6. Boulogne commits 14.4 fouls per match, Le Mans 17.6. Boulogne is caught offside 2.2 times on average, Le Mans 3 times per game.

Goal Scoring Series

In a five-match series, Boulogne shows an average total of 1.4 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 0.4 per game. Le Mans displays significantly higher scoring with an average of 4 goals per match, scoring 3 and conceding 1. Boulogne has exceeded the 2.5 total goals in only 1 of 5 matches, while Le Mans has done so in 4 of 5. In the first half, Boulogne exceeded 1.5 total goals 1 time out of 5, Le Mans 4 out of 5. In the second half, Boulogne exceeded 1.5 total goals 1 time out of 5, Le Mans 3 out of 5. Regarding scoring intervals: Boulogne most frequently scored between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Le Mans scored most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%). Boulogne conceded most frequently in three different intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 (33% each). Le Mans evenly conceded a quarter of their goals in four different intervals: 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90. Given Le Mans' high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and consistent scoring metrics, a bet on over 2.5 total goals at 2.19 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Boulogne averages 3.4 corners over their last five matches, while Le Mans averages 5.8. For matches exceeding 9.5 corners: Boulogne has 2 out of 5, Le Mans 3 out of 5. Combining both teams' averages gives 9.2 corners per game. The betting line offers two options for total corners at 9.5: over 9.5 at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.67. Le Mans is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.94. Considering both teams frequently reach 9 or more corners in total, betting on over 9.5 corners appears justified. Additionally, Le Mans' advantage in corner numbers, given their average and favorite status in this component, is worth considering.