Prediction for match Bournemouth — Aston Villa, 07.02.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the English Premier League on February 7, 2026, Bournemouth will face Aston Villa. The odds for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Aston Villa's win is priced at 2.50, Bournemouth's victory is at 2.86, and a draw is at 3.76. According to the probability percentages, which are 34.43% for Bournemouth, 26.19% for a draw, and 39.39% for Aston Villa, Aston Villa is slightly favored. This is also reflected in the double chance odds: 1.48 for X2 and 1.60 for 1X, indicating a fairly tight distribution of chances between the teams. Meanwhile, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.75, and for both teams to score is 1.54, suggesting an expectation of a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bournemouth has an average possession of 38.8%, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Aston Villa, on the other hand, has 55.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Bournemouth's last three matches were: January 31 - Wolverhampton vs Bournemouth 0-2, January 24 - Bournemouth vs Liverpool 3-2, January 19 - Brighton vs Bournemouth 1-1. Aston Villa's last three matches were: February 1 - Aston Villa vs Brentford 0-1, January 29 - Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg 3-2, January 25 - Newcastle vs Aston Villa 0-2. In their head-to-head on November 9, 2025, Aston Villa defeated Bournemouth 4-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Bournemouth has an average total of 4 goals, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6 per game. Aston Villa has an average total of 2 goals, with 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Bournemouth has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Aston Villa has seen it in 1 out of 5. Bournemouth had more than 1.5 goals in the first half twice out of five, and three times in the second half. Aston Villa had no first-half over 1.5 goals, and only once in the second half. Bournemouth most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (44%), while Aston Villa also scores late (76-90, 67%). Bournemouth concedes most in the intervals 31-45 and 76-90 (33% each), while Aston Villa concedes in 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 (29% each). Overall, Bournemouth shows a strong over-profile, while Aston Villa plays a more restrained style but often scores late. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems logical: Bournemouth consistently scores and concedes, and both teams often have eventful endings.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Bournemouth averages 4.6 corners, while Aston Villa averages 6.4 per match. In their last five matches, all of Bournemouth's games had over 9.5 corners, while Aston Villa had 4 out of 5. The total closest to the combined average (11) is 11.25, with outcomes for over 11.25 at 2.34 and under 11.25 at 1.50. Based on the statistics, considering a bet on over 11.25 corners is logical, given the high frequency of such outcomes for both teams. Bournemouth is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.89. Overall, the match promises to be rich in wing play, and a bet on a high corner total seems justified.